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Citrus, FL · ZIP 34450 · Census Tract 12017451002 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$262K
Downside (P10)
$217K
-17% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$281K
+7% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$353K
+35% by 2030
Base case: +7% by 2030, with a forecast range from -17% to +35%. The model forecasts this with 73% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $157K | $167K | $197K | $239K | $263K | $262K | $271K | $273K | $281K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$105,814 | -$95,214 | -$65,314 | -$23,114 | +$586 | +$8,549 | +$10,882 | +$18,257 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -40.3% | -36.3% | -24.9% | -8.8% | +0.2% | +3.3% | +4.1% | +7.0% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $233K | $223K | $217K | |||||||
| Upside (P90) | $315K | $355K | $353K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$233K to $315K
30.4% of median
Long-horizon band
$217K to $353K
48.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inverness · 34450 · (Tract 4510.2) | $262K | $281K | +7.2% | |
| Crystal River (Tract 450402) | $261K | $297K | +13.6% | |
| Crystal River (Tract 450305) | $251K | $279K | +11.0% | |
| Citrus Springs | $254K | $274K | +7.7% | |
| Inverness | $250K | $268K | +6.8% | |
| Crystal River (Tract 450306) | $255K | $270K | +6.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inverness · 34450 · (Tract 4510.2) | $262K | $281K | +7.2% | |
| Inverness (Tract 451101) | $282K | $331K | +17.3% | |
| Homosassa | $368K | $422K | +14.9% | |
| Sugarmill Woods | $308K | $351K | +14.1% | |
| Crystal River | $261K | $297K | +13.6% | |
| Inverness (Tract 450901) | $201K | $227K | +12.9% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inverness · 34450 · (Tract 4510.2) | $262K | $281K | $136K | |
| Inverness (Tract 450106) | $193K | $198K | $110K | |
| Inverness (Tract 450901) | $201K | $227K | $108K | |
| Inverness (Tract 451104) | $170K | $189K | $107K | |
| Crystal River (Tract 451702) | $108K | $109K | $82K | |
| Crystal River (Tract 451605) | $93K | $96K | $52K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Citrus, FL · ZIP 34450 · Census Tract 12017451002 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$262K
Downside (P10)
$217K
-17% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$281K
+7% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$353K
+35% by 2030
Base case: +7% by 2030, with a forecast range from -17% to +35%. The model forecasts this with 73% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $157K | $167K | $197K | $239K | $263K | $262K | $271K | $273K | $281K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$105,814 | -$95,214 | -$65,314 | -$23,114 | +$586 | +$8,549 | +$10,882 | +$18,257 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -40.3% | -36.3% | -24.9% | -8.8% | +0.2% | +3.3% | +4.1% | +7.0% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $233K | $223K | $217K | |||||||
| Upside (P90) | $315K | $355K | $353K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$233K to $315K
30.4% of median
Long-horizon band
$217K to $353K
48.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inverness · 34450 · (Tract 4510.2) | $262K | $281K | +7.2% | |
| Crystal River (Tract 450402) | $261K | $297K | +13.6% | |
| Crystal River (Tract 450305) | $251K | $279K | +11.0% | |
| Citrus Springs | $254K | $274K | +7.7% | |
| Inverness | $250K | $268K | +6.8% | |
| Crystal River (Tract 450306) | $255K | $270K | +6.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inverness · 34450 · (Tract 4510.2) | $262K | $281K | +7.2% | |
| Inverness (Tract 451101) | $282K | $331K | +17.3% | |
| Homosassa | $368K | $422K | +14.9% | |
| Sugarmill Woods | $308K | $351K | +14.1% | |
| Crystal River | $261K | $297K | +13.6% | |
| Inverness (Tract 450901) | $201K | $227K | +12.9% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inverness · 34450 · (Tract 4510.2) | $262K | $281K | $136K | |
| Inverness (Tract 450106) | $193K | $198K | $110K | |
| Inverness (Tract 450901) | $201K | $227K | $108K | |
| Inverness (Tract 451104) | $170K | $189K | $107K | |
| Crystal River (Tract 451702) | $108K | $109K | $82K | |
| Crystal River (Tract 451605) | $93K | $96K | $52K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
