Charlotte, FL · ZIP 33950 · Census Tract 12015010401 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$677K
Downside (P10)
$594K
-12% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$742K
+9% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$963K
+42% by 2030
Base case: +9% by 2030, with a forecast range from -12% to +42%. Uncertainty is narrow relative to similar Charlotte markets.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $339K | $363K | $382K | $390K | $429K | $417K | $453K | $525K | $603K | $668K | $677K | $709K | $730K | $742K |
| YoY Change | +7.3% | +5.0% | +2.1% | +10.0% | -2.7% | +8.6% | +16.0% | +14.8% | +10.9% | +1.4% | +4.7% | +3.0% | +1.5% | |
| Downside (P10) | $608K | $602K | $594K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $867K | $927K | $963K |
The forecast range is narrow for this market. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight and remain tight through the full horizon.
1-Year Spread
$608K to $867K
36.5% of median
5-Year Spread
$594K to $963K
49.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Punta Gorda · 33950 · (Tract 104.1) | $675K | $742K | +9.8% | |
| Port Charlotte | $718K | $769K | +7.2% | |
| Punta Gorda | $635K | $674K | +6.1% | |
| Grove City-Rotonda | $751K | $808K | +7.6% | |
| Grove City-Rotonda | $550K | $565K | +2.7% | |
| Punta Gorda | $526K | $550K | +4.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Punta Gorda · 33950 · (Tract 104.1) | $675K | $742K | +9.8% | |
| Port Charlotte | $293K | $339K | +15.5% | |
| Port Charlotte | $250K | $285K | +14.1% | |
| Port Charlotte | $400K | $456K | +14.1% | |
| Port Charlotte | $273K | $308K | +12.8% | |
| Port Charlotte | $285K | $320K | +12.3% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Punta Gorda · 33950 · (Tract 104.1) | $675K | $742K | $369K | |
| Punta Gorda | $110K | $109K | $64K | |
| Port Charlotte | $197K | $208K | $95K | |
| Englewood | $193K | $200K | $99K | |
| Port Charlotte | $165K | $179K | $99K | |
| Port Charlotte | $203K | $216K | $104K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.