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Charlotte, FL · ZIP 33983 · Census Tract 12015020101 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$342K
Downside (P10)
$298K
-13% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$365K
+7% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$495K
+45% by 2030
Base case: +7% by 2030, with a forecast range from -13% to +45%. The model forecasts this with 70% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $152K | $166K | $185K | $198K | $220K | $254K | $266K | $286K | $304K | $343K | $342K | $351K | $358K | $365K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$189,747 | -$175,647 | -$156,747 | -$143,347 | -$121,847 | -$87,347 | -$75,647 | -$56,147 | -$37,547 | +$1,053 | +$9,598 | +$16,434 | +$23,666 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -55.5% | -51.4% | -45.9% | -41.9% | -35.7% | -25.6% | -22.1% | -16.4% | -11.0% | +0.3% | +2.8% | +4.8% | +6.9% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $306K | $306K | $298K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $403K | $434K | $495K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$306K to $403K
27.9% of median
Long-horizon band
$298K to $495K
53.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Port Charlotte · Punta Gorda · (Tract 201.1) | $346K | $365K | +5.6% | |
| Port Charlotte (Tract 020401) | $350K | $385K | +10.2% | |
| Port Charlotte (Tract 020203) | $332K | $364K | +9.6% | |
| Rotonda | $338K | $362K | +7.0% | |
| Grove City-Rotonda | $330K | $344K | +4.3% | |
| Punta Gorda | $332K | $341K | +2.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Port Charlotte · Punta Gorda · (Tract 201.1) | $346K | $365K | +5.6% | |
| Port Charlotte (Tract 020206) | $293K | $339K | +15.5% | |
| Port Charlotte (Tract 020601) | $250K | $285K | +14.1% | |
| Port Charlotte (Tract 020402) | $400K | $456K | +14.1% | |
| Port Charlotte (Tract 020900) | $273K | $308K | +12.8% | |
| Port Charlotte (Tract 020303) | $285K | $320K | +12.3% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Port Charlotte · Punta Gorda · (Tract 201.1) | $346K | $365K | $197K | |
| Port Charlotte (Tract 021003) | $203K | $216K | $104K | |
| Port Charlotte (Tract 020700) | $165K | $179K | $99K | |
| Englewood | $193K | $200K | $99K | |
| Port Charlotte (Tract 020800) | $197K | $208K | $95K | |
| Punta Gorda | $110K | $109K | $64K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Charlotte, FL · ZIP 33983 · Census Tract 12015020101 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$342K
Downside (P10)
$298K
-13% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$365K
+7% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$495K
+45% by 2030
Base case: +7% by 2030, with a forecast range from -13% to +45%. The model forecasts this with 70% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $152K | $166K | $185K | $198K | $220K | $254K | $266K | $286K | $304K | $343K | $342K | $351K | $358K | $365K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$189,747 | -$175,647 | -$156,747 | -$143,347 | -$121,847 | -$87,347 | -$75,647 | -$56,147 | -$37,547 | +$1,053 | +$9,598 | +$16,434 | +$23,666 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -55.5% | -51.4% | -45.9% | -41.9% | -35.7% | -25.6% | -22.1% | -16.4% | -11.0% | +0.3% | +2.8% | +4.8% | +6.9% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $306K | $306K | $298K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $403K | $434K | $495K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$306K to $403K
27.9% of median
Long-horizon band
$298K to $495K
53.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Port Charlotte · Punta Gorda · (Tract 201.1) | $346K | $365K | +5.6% | |
| Port Charlotte (Tract 020401) | $350K | $385K | +10.2% | |
| Port Charlotte (Tract 020203) | $332K | $364K | +9.6% | |
| Rotonda | $338K | $362K | +7.0% | |
| Grove City-Rotonda | $330K | $344K | +4.3% | |
| Punta Gorda | $332K | $341K | +2.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Port Charlotte · Punta Gorda · (Tract 201.1) | $346K | $365K | +5.6% | |
| Port Charlotte (Tract 020206) | $293K | $339K | +15.5% | |
| Port Charlotte (Tract 020601) | $250K | $285K | +14.1% | |
| Port Charlotte (Tract 020402) | $400K | $456K | +14.1% | |
| Port Charlotte (Tract 020900) | $273K | $308K | +12.8% | |
| Port Charlotte (Tract 020303) | $285K | $320K | +12.3% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Port Charlotte · Punta Gorda · (Tract 201.1) | $346K | $365K | $197K | |
| Port Charlotte (Tract 021003) | $203K | $216K | $104K | |
| Port Charlotte (Tract 020700) | $165K | $179K | $99K | |
| Englewood | $193K | $200K | $99K | |
| Port Charlotte (Tract 020800) | $197K | $208K | $95K | |
| Punta Gorda | $110K | $109K | $64K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
