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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Bay, FL · ZIP 32405 · Census Tract 12005002500 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$380K
Downside (P10)
$319K
-16% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$406K
+7% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$526K
+39% by 2030
Base case: +7% by 2030, with a forecast range from -16% to +39%. The model forecasts this with 72% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $256K | $277K | $292K | $288K | $278K | $271K | $282K | $331K | $345K | $369K | $380K | $389K | $399K | $406K | $388K |
| YoY Change | +8.4% | +5.5% | -1.5% | -3.2% | -2.8% | +4.1% | +17.6% | +4.2% | +7.0% | +2.8% | +2.4% | +2.7% | +1.9% | -4.7% | |
| Downside (P10) | $337K | $329K | $319K | $342K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $457K | $499K | $526K | $431K |
The forecast range is very tight for this market, indicating strong model confidence. Near-term outcomes are constrained and remain highly predictable through the full horizon.
1-Year Spread
$337K to $457K
30.8% of median
5-Year Spread
$342K to $431K
22.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Panama City | $375K | $406K | +8.4% | |
| Lynn Haven | $364K | $426K | +16.8% | |
| Panama City Beaches (Tract 002710) | $393K | $432K | +10.0% | |
| Upper Grand Lagoon | $363K | $394K | +8.4% | |
| Panama City Beaches (Tract 002606) | $387K | $418K | +7.9% | |
| Panama City Beaches (Tract 002607) | $367K | $395K | +7.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Panama City | $375K | $406K | +8.4% | |
| Panama City Beaches | $464K | $548K | +18.0% | |
| Lynn Haven | $364K | $426K | +16.8% | |
| Panama City Beach | $492K | $564K | +14.5% | |
| Callaway | $237K | $270K | +13.8% | |
| Panama City | $417K | $469K | +12.4% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Panama City | $375K | $406K | $207K | |
| Panama City (Tract 000803) | $176K | $189K | $95K | |
| Panama City (Tract 001800) | $166K | $173K | $95K | |
| Panama City (Tract 001000) | $198K | $216K | $92K | |
| Panama City (Tract 001700) | $169K | $180K | $75K | |
| Youngstown | $124K | $130K | $73K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.