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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Bay, FL · ZIP 32404 · Census Tract 12005000900 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$227K
Downside (P10)
$214K
-6% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$245K
+8% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$334K
+47% by 2030
Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -6% to +47%. The model forecasts this with 73% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $118K | $129K | $129K | $132K | $142K | $149K | $156K | $176K | $194K | $224K | $227K | $238K | $241K | $245K |
| YoY Change | +9.1% | -0.5% | +2.4% | +7.5% | +5.2% | +4.6% | +13.0% | +10.2% | +15.6% | +1.4% | +4.7% | +1.3% | +1.6% | |
| Downside (P10) | $211K | $216K | $214K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $290K | $322K | $334K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$211K to $290K
33.1% of median
5-Year Spread
$214K to $334K
48.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Panama City | $229K | $245K | +7.0% | |
| Callaway | $237K | $270K | +13.8% | |
| Panama City (Tract 001600) | $224K | $243K | +8.6% | |
| Panama City (Tract 001200) | $208K | $225K | +8.5% | |
| Panama City (Tract 001302) | $250K | $268K | +7.3% | |
| Panama City (Tract 002200) | $240K | $247K | +3.1% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Panama City | $229K | $245K | +7.0% | |
| Panama City Beaches | $464K | $548K | +18.0% | |
| Lynn Haven | $364K | $426K | +16.8% | |
| Panama City Beach | $492K | $564K | +14.5% | |
| Callaway | $237K | $270K | +13.8% | |
| Panama City | $417K | $469K | +12.4% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Panama City | $229K | $245K | $120K | |
| Panama City (Tract 000803) | $176K | $189K | $95K | |
| Panama City (Tract 001800) | $166K | $173K | $95K | |
| Panama City (Tract 001000) | $198K | $216K | $92K | |
| Panama City (Tract 001700) | $169K | $180K | $75K | |
| Youngstown | $124K | $130K | $73K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.