What is the home price forecast for Parcel 12001000202 in Gainesville · 32601 · (Tract 2.2)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $253,206 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 14.5%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 12001000202 in Gainesville · 32601 · (Tract 2.2)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $253,206 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 14.5%.

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Parcel 12001000202 (Gainesville) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 12001000202, Gainesville · 32601 · (Tract 2.2) Home Price Forecast

Alachua, FL · ZIP 32601 · Census Tract 12001000202 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$253K

Downside (P10)

$228K

-10% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$290K

+14% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$407K

+61% by 2030

Base case: +14% by 2030, with a forecast range from -10% to +61%. The model forecasts this with 66% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$224K	$226K	$235K	$231K	$247K	$253K	$260K	$267K	$290K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$29,506	-$26,906	-$18,106	-$22,306	-$6,006		+$7,262	+$13,410	+$36,632
Growth % vs 2026	-11.7%	-10.6%	-7.2%	-8.8%	-2.4%		+2.9%	+5.3%	+14.5%
Downside (P10)							$230K	$231K	$228K
Upside (P90)							$315K	$361K	$407K

Forecast Confidence

66%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.

Near-term band

$230K to $315K

32.8% of median

Long-horizon band

$228K to $407K

61.8% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: strong growth expected5yr expected: +14.5% · Spread: 62%

·The forecast implies steady near-term growth accelerating over the longer horizon.
·The base case is supported by strong local demand signals and a positive medium-term appreciation path.

Location

Parcel 12001000202, Gainesville · 32601 · (Tract 2.2) on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).