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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Sussex, DE · ZIP 19944 · Census Tract 10005051205 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$1.20M
Downside (P10)
$905K
-25% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$1.18M
-1% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.66M
+38% by 2030
Base case: -1% by 2030, with a forecast range from -25% to +38%. The model forecasts this with 65% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $685K | $744K | $731K | $746K | $792K | $818K | $877K | $988K | $1.1M | $1.1M | $1.2M | $1.2M | $1.2M | $1.2M |
| YoY Change | +8.6% | -1.7% | +2.1% | +6.1% | +3.3% | +7.2% | +12.6% | +9.9% | +4.3% | +5.9% | +1.1% | -0.6% | -1.7% | |
| Downside (P10) | $1.0M | $984K | $905K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $1.5M | $1.6M | $1.7M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$1.00M to $1.47M
39.0% of median
5-Year Spread
$905K to $1.66M
63.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Selbyville-Frankford | $1.17M | $1.18M | +1.4% | |
| Lewes (Tract 051009) | $948K | $1.11M | +17.4% | |
| Selbyville-Frankford (Tract 051202) | $923K | $1.03M | +11.7% | |
| Lewes (Tract 051103) | $898K | $996K | +10.9% | |
| Lewes (Tract 051102) | $1.18M | $1.29M | +9.2% | |
| Selbyville-Frankford (Tract 051204) | $1.06M | $1.13M | +6.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Selbyville-Frankford | $1.17M | $1.18M | +1.4% | |
| Lewes (Tract 051008) | $504K | $592K | +17.5% | |
| Lewes (Tract 051009) | $948K | $1.11M | +17.4% | |
| Seaford (Tract 050406) | $264K | $305K | +15.7% | |
| Seaford (Tract 050405) | $246K | $280K | +14.0% | |
| Millsboro | $246K | $278K | +13.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Selbyville-Frankford | $1.17M | $1.18M | $755K | |
| Georgetown | $283K | $291K | $138K | |
| Laurel-Delmar | $266K | $279K | $137K | |
| Millsboro (Tract 050706) | $185K | $207K | $99K | |
| Millsboro (Tract 050711) | $106K | $119K | $76K | |
| Millsboro (Tract 050710) | $102K | $114K | $69K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.