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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Sussex, DE · ZIP 19973 · Census Tract 10005050406 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$266K
Downside (P10)
$242K
-9% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$305K
+15% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$394K
+48% by 2030
Base case: +15% by 2030, with a forecast range from -9% to +48%. The model forecasts this with 73% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $178K | $162K | $171K | $176K | $187K | $182K | $190K | $238K | $247K | $257K | $266K | $269K | $292K | $305K |
| YoY Change | -8.9% | +5.2% | +3.2% | +6.2% | -2.5% | +4.1% | +25.3% | +3.8% | +4.3% | +3.4% | +1.1% | +8.5% | +4.5% | |
| Downside (P10) | $235K | $245K | $242K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $340K | $368K | $394K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$235K to $340K
39.1% of median
5-Year Spread
$242K to $394K
49.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seaford · 19973 · (Tract 504.6) | $264K | $305K | +15.7% | |
| Seaford | $271K | $299K | +10.6% | |
| Milford South | $271K | $297K | +9.4% | |
| Laurel-Delmar (Tract 051801) | $269K | $293K | +8.8% | |
| Laurel-Delmar (Tract 051802) | $262K | $276K | +5.3% | |
| Laurel-Delmar (Tract 051702) | $266K | $279K | +5.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seaford · 19973 · (Tract 504.6) | $264K | $305K | +15.7% | |
| Lewes (Tract 051008) | $504K | $592K | +17.5% | |
| Lewes (Tract 051009) | $948K | $1.11M | +17.4% | |
| Seaford | $246K | $280K | +14.0% | |
| Millsboro | $246K | $278K | +13.2% | |
| Lewes (Tract 051015) | $649K | $734K | +13.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seaford · 19973 · (Tract 504.6) | $264K | $305K | $152K | |
| Georgetown | $283K | $291K | $138K | |
| Laurel-Delmar | $266K | $279K | $137K | |
| Millsboro (Tract 050706) | $185K | $207K | $99K | |
| Millsboro (Tract 050711) | $106K | $119K | $76K | |
| Millsboro (Tract 050710) | $102K | $114K | $69K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.