Loading forecast data...
Ready to see your forecast?
Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Loading forecast data...
Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
New Castle, DE · ZIP 19810 · Census Tract 10003011206 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$528K
Downside (P10)
$423K
-20% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$556K
+5% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$693K
+31% by 2030
Base case: +5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -20% to +31%. The model forecasts this with 73% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $354K | $358K | $368K | $380K | $399K | $405K | $426K | $467K | $491K | $531K | $528K | $533K | $549K | $556K |
| YoY Change | +0.9% | +2.9% | +3.2% | +5.0% | +1.4% | +5.1% | +9.7% | +5.1% | +8.3% | -0.6% | +0.8% | +3.0% | +1.4% | |
| Downside (P10) | $472K | $450K | $423K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $633K | $687K | $693K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$472K to $633K
30.2% of median
5-Year Spread
$423K to $693K
48.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandywine · Wilmington · (Tract 112.6) | $534K | $556K | +4.2% | |
| Brandywine | $511K | $587K | +14.8% | |
| Newark (Tract 014301) | $531K | $581K | +9.3% | |
| Newark (Tract 013610) | $516K | $545K | +5.5% | |
| Piedmont | $535K | $563K | +5.1% | |
| Hockessin | $530K | $555K | +4.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandywine · Wilmington · (Tract 112.6) | $534K | $556K | +4.2% | |
| Wilmington | $260K | $316K | +21.6% | |
| Middletown-Odessa | $464K | $555K | +19.7% | |
| Brandywine | $394K | $464K | +17.6% | |
| Brookside | $272K | $317K | +16.7% | |
| New Castle | $279K | $325K | +16.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandywine · Wilmington · (Tract 112.6) | $534K | $556K | $271K | |
| Wilmington (Tract 000601) | $153K | $158K | $100K | |
| New Castle | $167K | $179K | $88K | |
| Wilmington (Tract 000900) | $114K | $128K | $74K | |
| Wilmington (Tract 000602) | $154K | $174K | $72K | |
| Wilmington (Tract 002900) | $100K | $112K | $46K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.