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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Kent, DE · ZIP 19904 · Census Tract 10001041804 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$315K
Downside (P10)
$278K
-12% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$346K
+10% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$433K
+38% by 2030
Base case: +10% by 2030, with a forecast range from -12% to +38%. The model forecasts this with 75% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $223K | $230K | $265K | $280K | $311K | $315K | $326K | $336K | $346K |
| YoY Change | +3.1% | +15.1% | +5.7% | +11.3% | +1.1% | +3.4% | +3.3% | +3.0% | |
| Downside (P10) | $292K | $285K | $278K | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $396K | $435K | $433K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$292K to $396K
32.1% of median
5-Year Spread
$278K to $433K
44.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dover | $317K | $346K | +9.1% | |
| Central Kent | $312K | $360K | +15.4% | |
| Smyrna (Tract 040201) | $309K | $336K | +9.0% | |
| Harrington | $320K | $348K | +8.7% | |
| Smyrna (Tract 040203) | $323K | $350K | +8.4% | |
| Dover | $322K | $347K | +7.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dover | $317K | $346K | +9.1% | |
| Dover | $251K | $291K | +15.9% | |
| Harrington | $306K | $354K | +15.7% | |
| Central Kent (Tract 042000) | $312K | $360K | +15.4% | |
| Kenton | $339K | $390K | +15.0% | |
| Central Kent (Tract 042206) | $338K | $385K | +14.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dover | $317K | $346K | $156K | |
| Harrington | $249K | $272K | $130K | |
| Smyrna (Tract 040201) | $309K | $336K | $129K | |
| Smyrna (Tract 040205) | $258K | $275K | $125K | |
| Central Kent | $262K | $282K | $123K | |
| Dover | $200K | $213K | $106K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.