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Washington, DC · ZIP 20018 · Census Tract 11001009000 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$591K
Downside (P10)
$502K
-15% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$624K
+6% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$771K
+30% by 2030
Base case: +6% by 2030, with a forecast range from -15% to +30%. The model forecasts this with 76% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $335K | $342K | $399K | $446K | $485K | $459K | $529K | $547K | $578K | $586K | $591K | $613K | $619K | $624K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$255,539 | -$249,339 | -$191,839 | -$145,139 | -$105,939 | -$132,039 | -$61,739 | -$43,539 | -$12,639 | -$5,239 | +$22,404 | +$28,395 | +$33,293 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -43.3% | -42.2% | -32.5% | -24.6% | -17.9% | -22.3% | -10.4% | -7.4% | -2.1% | -0.9% | +3.8% | +4.8% | +5.6% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $517K | $517K | $502K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $745K | $757K | $771K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.
Near-term band
$517K to $745K
37.1% of median
Long-horizon band
$502K to $771K
43.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Washington · 20018 · (Tract 90) | $586K | $624K | +6.5% | |
| Washington (Tract 005302) | $577K | $685K | +18.7% | |
| Washington (Tract 007804) | $587K | $689K | +17.3% | |
| Washington (Tract 001002) | $580K | $668K | +15.2% | |
| Washington (Tract 008803) | $579K | $658K | +13.5% | |
| Washington (Tract 002501) | $582K | $642K | +10.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Washington · 20018 · (Tract 90) | $586K | $624K | +6.5% | |
| Washington (Tract 006801) | $906K | $1.09M | +19.8% | |
| Washington (Tract 008802) | $745K | $887K | +19.0% | |
| Washington (Tract 005302) | $577K | $685K | +18.7% | |
| Washington (Tract 007901) | $833K | $986K | +18.4% | |
| Washington (Tract 007804) | $587K | $689K | +17.3% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Washington · 20018 · (Tract 90) | $586K | $624K | $269K | |
| Washington (Tract 000702) | $381K | $435K | $222K | |
| Washington (Tract 007809) | $401K | $461K | $216K | |
| Washington (Tract 004704) | $369K | $389K | $199K | |
| Washington (Tract 005303) | $389K | $432K | $198K | |
| Washington (Tract 007502) | $335K | $363K | $181K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Washington, DC · ZIP 20018 · Census Tract 11001009000 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$591K
Downside (P10)
$502K
-15% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$624K
+6% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$771K
+30% by 2030
Base case: +6% by 2030, with a forecast range from -15% to +30%. The model forecasts this with 76% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $335K | $342K | $399K | $446K | $485K | $459K | $529K | $547K | $578K | $586K | $591K | $613K | $619K | $624K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$255,539 | -$249,339 | -$191,839 | -$145,139 | -$105,939 | -$132,039 | -$61,739 | -$43,539 | -$12,639 | -$5,239 | +$22,404 | +$28,395 | +$33,293 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -43.3% | -42.2% | -32.5% | -24.6% | -17.9% | -22.3% | -10.4% | -7.4% | -2.1% | -0.9% | +3.8% | +4.8% | +5.6% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $517K | $517K | $502K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $745K | $757K | $771K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.
Near-term band
$517K to $745K
37.1% of median
Long-horizon band
$502K to $771K
43.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Washington · 20018 · (Tract 90) | $586K | $624K | +6.5% | |
| Washington (Tract 005302) | $577K | $685K | +18.7% | |
| Washington (Tract 007804) | $587K | $689K | +17.3% | |
| Washington (Tract 001002) | $580K | $668K | +15.2% | |
| Washington (Tract 008803) | $579K | $658K | +13.5% | |
| Washington (Tract 002501) | $582K | $642K | +10.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Washington · 20018 · (Tract 90) | $586K | $624K | +6.5% | |
| Washington (Tract 006801) | $906K | $1.09M | +19.8% | |
| Washington (Tract 008802) | $745K | $887K | +19.0% | |
| Washington (Tract 005302) | $577K | $685K | +18.7% | |
| Washington (Tract 007901) | $833K | $986K | +18.4% | |
| Washington (Tract 007804) | $587K | $689K | +17.3% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Washington · 20018 · (Tract 90) | $586K | $624K | $269K | |
| Washington (Tract 000702) | $381K | $435K | $222K | |
| Washington (Tract 007809) | $401K | $461K | $216K | |
| Washington (Tract 004704) | $369K | $389K | $199K | |
| Washington (Tract 005303) | $389K | $432K | $198K | |
| Washington (Tract 007502) | $335K | $363K | $181K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
