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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Washington, DC · ZIP 20003 · Census Tract 11001006600 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$1.29M
Downside (P10)
$1.07M
-17% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$1.38M
+7% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$2.05M
+59% by 2030
Base case: +7% by 2030, with a forecast range from -17% to +59%. The model forecasts this with 61% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $933K | $1.0M | $1.0M | $1.0M | $1.0M | $1.0M | $1.1M | $1.1M | $1.1M | $1.2M | $1.3M | $1.3M | $1.4M | $1.4M |
| YoY Change | +11.8% | -2.0% | -1.3% | +2.8% | -2.3% | +4.0% | +8.4% | -3.0% | +12.6% | +3.1% | +3.1% | +2.9% | +0.9% | |
| Downside (P10) | $1.1M | $1.1M | $1.1M | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $1.6M | $1.8M | $2.0M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$1.11M to $1.58M
35.3% of median
5-Year Spread
$1.07M to $2.05M
71.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Washington | $1.27M | $1.38M | +8.2% | |
| Washington (Tract 002600) | $1.32M | $1.54M | +16.6% | |
| Washington (Tract 001004) | $1.27M | $1.36M | +7.8% | |
| Washington (Tract 001200) | $1.30M | $1.39M | +7.0% | |
| Washington (Tract 001500) | $1.30M | $1.36M | +5.1% | |
| Washington (Tract 001100) | $1.27M | $1.30M | +1.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Washington | $1.27M | $1.38M | +8.2% | |
| Washington (Tract 010201) | $770K | $928K | +20.6% | |
| Washington (Tract 006801) | $906K | $1.09M | +19.8% | |
| Washington (Tract 008802) | $745K | $887K | +19.0% | |
| Washington (Tract 005302) | $577K | $685K | +18.7% | |
| Washington (Tract 007901) | $833K | $986K | +18.4% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Washington | $1.27M | $1.38M | $981K | |
| Washington (Tract 009907) | $412K | $437K | $198K | |
| Washington (Tract 005303) | $389K | $432K | $198K | |
| Washington (Tract 007502) | $335K | $363K | $181K | |
| Washington (Tract 010400) | $343K | $376K | $147K | |
| Washington (Tract 010800) | $257K | $284K | $137K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.