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Washington, DC · ZIP 20011 · Census Tract 11001001902 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$859K
Downside (P10)
$710K
-17% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$966K
+12% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.29M
+50% by 2030
Base case: +12% by 2030, with a forecast range from -17% to +50%. The model forecasts this with 67% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $442K | $469K | $515K | $559K | $584K | $604K | $631K | $779K | $822K | $843K | $859K | $878K | $943K | $966K |
| YoY Change | +6.1% | +9.8% | +8.6% | +4.4% | +3.4% | +4.5% | +23.6% | +5.5% | +2.5% | +1.9% | +2.2% | +7.4% | +2.5% | |
| Downside (P10) | $745K | $705K | $710K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $1.2M | $1.3M | $1.3M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$745K to $1.15M
46.5% of median
5-Year Spread
$710K to $1.29M
59.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Washington | $846K | $966K | +14.2% | |
| Washington (Tract 003802) | $866K | $998K | +15.2% | |
| Washington (Tract 004902) | $862K | $962K | +11.6% | |
| Washington (Tract 008402) | $857K | $904K | +5.6% | |
| Washington (Tract 008701) | $865K | $910K | +5.2% | |
| Washington (Tract 002301) | $856K | $899K | +5.1% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Washington | $846K | $966K | +14.2% | |
| Washington (Tract 010201) | $770K | $928K | +20.6% | |
| Washington (Tract 006801) | $906K | $1.09M | +19.8% | |
| Washington (Tract 008802) | $745K | $887K | +19.0% | |
| Washington (Tract 005302) | $577K | $685K | +18.7% | |
| Washington (Tract 007901) | $833K | $986K | +18.4% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Washington | $846K | $966K | $577K | |
| Washington (Tract 009907) | $412K | $437K | $198K | |
| Washington (Tract 005303) | $389K | $432K | $198K | |
| Washington (Tract 007502) | $335K | $363K | $181K | |
| Washington (Tract 010400) | $343K | $376K | $147K | |
| Washington (Tract 010800) | $257K | $284K | $137K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.