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Western Connecticut, CT · Census Tract 09190220100 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$453K
Downside (P10)
$376K
-17% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$462K
+2% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$668K
+48% by 2030
Base case: +2% by 2030, with a forecast range from -17% to +48%. The model forecasts this with 65% confidence.
| Year | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $389K | $436K | $450K | $453K | $449K | $460K | $462K |
| YoY Change | +12.2% | +3.2% | +0.7% | -0.8% | +2.3% | +0.6% | |
| Downside (P10) | $391K | $396K | $376K | ||||
| Upside (P90) | $560K | $599K | $668K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$391K to $560K
37.4% of median
5-Year Spread
$376K to $668K
63.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New Fairfield | $455K | $462K | +1.7% | |
| New Milford | $457K | $517K | +13.1% | |
| Stamford | $457K | $515K | +12.7% | |
| Norwalk (Tract 043400) | $460K | $506K | +10.0% | |
| Norwalk (Tract 043200) | $458K | $494K | +7.9% | |
| Norwalk (Tract 044200) | $453K | $483K | +6.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New Fairfield | $455K | $462K | +1.7% | |
| Stamford (Tract 022300) | $653K | $784K | +20.0% | |
| Newtown | $534K | $638K | +19.5% | |
| Danbury | $414K | $491K | +18.6% | |
| Norwalk | $540K | $640K | +18.5% | |
| Stamford (Tract 020800) | $691K | $812K | +17.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New Fairfield | $455K | $462K | $292K | |
| Danbury (Tract 210102) | $294K | $319K | $166K | |
| Norwalk | $321K | $348K | $164K | |
| Danbury (Tract 210401) | $362K | $392K | $160K | |
| Stamford | $286K | $285K | $149K | |
| New Milford | $326K | $329K | $142K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.