Loading forecast data...
Loading forecast data...
View parcel and neighborhood forecasts, compare markets, or build with the API.
Loading forecast data...
South Central Connecticut, CT · Census Tract 09170175501 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$459K
Downside (P10)
$386K
-16% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$480K
+5% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$702K
+53% by 2030
Base case: +5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -16% to +53%. The model forecasts this with 64% confidence.
| Year | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $440K | $439K | $441K | $459K | $466K | $482K | $480K | $455K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$19,585 | -$20,185 | -$18,185 | +$6,291 | +$22,804 | +$20,902 | -$4,015 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -4.3% | -4.4% | -4.0% | +1.4% | +5.0% | +4.6% | -0.9% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $409K | $386K | $386K | $408K | |||||
| Upside (P90) | $572K | $647K | $702K | $518K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$409K to $572K
35.0% of median
Long-horizon band
$408K to $518K
24.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallingford · (Tract 1755.1) | $452K | $480K | +6.2% | |
| North Haven (Tract 167301) | $445K | $505K | +13.4% | |
| Hamden | $454K | $509K | +12.1% | |
| Milford city (balance) (Tract 150100) | $448K | $485K | +8.1% | |
| Milford city (balance) (Tract 150600) | $443K | $478K | +8.0% | |
| North Haven (Tract 167101) | $466K | $467K | +0.1% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallingford · (Tract 1755.1) | $452K | $480K | +6.2% | |
| New Haven (Tract 141301) | $240K | $291K | +21.2% | |
| New Haven (Tract 140500) | $368K | $443K | +20.4% | |
| Milford city (balance) | $392K | $466K | +18.8% | |
| Meriden (Tract 170200) | $172K | $203K | +17.9% | |
| Meriden (Tract 171100) | $236K | $277K | +17.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallingford · (Tract 1755.1) | $452K | $480K | $317K | |
| Meriden (Tract 171600) | $223K | $247K | $112K | |
| Meriden (Tract 171400) | $184K | $196K | $106K | |
| New Haven (Tract 142605) | $189K | $199K | $103K | |
| Meriden (Tract 171500) | $189K | $212K | $96K | |
| New Haven (Tract 361401) | $115K | $123K | $77K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
South Central Connecticut, CT · Census Tract 09170175501 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$459K
Downside (P10)
$386K
-16% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$480K
+5% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$702K
+53% by 2030
Base case: +5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -16% to +53%. The model forecasts this with 64% confidence.
| Year | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $440K | $439K | $441K | $459K | $466K | $482K | $480K | $455K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$19,585 | -$20,185 | -$18,185 | +$6,291 | +$22,804 | +$20,902 | -$4,015 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -4.3% | -4.4% | -4.0% | +1.4% | +5.0% | +4.6% | -0.9% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $409K | $386K | $386K | $408K | |||||
| Upside (P90) | $572K | $647K | $702K | $518K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$409K to $572K
35.0% of median
Long-horizon band
$408K to $518K
24.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallingford · (Tract 1755.1) | $452K | $480K | +6.2% | |
| North Haven (Tract 167301) | $445K | $505K | +13.4% | |
| Hamden | $454K | $509K | +12.1% | |
| Milford city (balance) (Tract 150100) | $448K | $485K | +8.1% | |
| Milford city (balance) (Tract 150600) | $443K | $478K | +8.0% | |
| North Haven (Tract 167101) | $466K | $467K | +0.1% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallingford · (Tract 1755.1) | $452K | $480K | +6.2% | |
| New Haven (Tract 141301) | $240K | $291K | +21.2% | |
| New Haven (Tract 140500) | $368K | $443K | +20.4% | |
| Milford city (balance) | $392K | $466K | +18.8% | |
| Meriden (Tract 170200) | $172K | $203K | +17.9% | |
| Meriden (Tract 171100) | $236K | $277K | +17.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallingford · (Tract 1755.1) | $452K | $480K | $317K | |
| Meriden (Tract 171600) | $223K | $247K | $112K | |
| Meriden (Tract 171400) | $184K | $196K | $106K | |
| New Haven (Tract 142605) | $189K | $199K | $103K | |
| Meriden (Tract 171500) | $189K | $212K | $96K | |
| New Haven (Tract 361401) | $115K | $123K | $77K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
