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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
South Central Connecticut, CT · Census Tract 09170175300 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$340K
Downside (P10)
$292K
-14% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$357K
+5% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$506K
+49% by 2030
Base case: +5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -14% to +49%. The model forecasts this with 67% confidence.
| Year | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $281K | $294K | $329K | $340K | $351K | $354K | $357K | $340K |
| YoY Change | +4.6% | +12.1% | +3.3% | +3.2% | +1.0% | +0.7% | -4.8% | |
| Downside (P10) | $296K | $296K | $292K | $306K | ||||
| Upside (P90) | $449K | $488K | $506K | $384K |
The forecast range is very tight for this market, indicating strong model confidence. Near-term outcomes are constrained and remain highly predictable through the full horizon.
1-Year Spread
$296K to $449K
43.7% of median
5-Year Spread
$306K to $384K
23.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallingford Center · (Tract 1753) | $329K | $357K | +8.4% | |
| Hamden | $340K | $370K | +9.0% | |
| North Haven | $342K | $369K | +7.9% | |
| East Haven | $340K | $363K | +6.8% | |
| Wallingford Center | $337K | $358K | +6.3% | |
| Wallingford | $337K | $336K | -0.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallingford Center · (Tract 1753) | $329K | $357K | +8.4% | |
| New Haven (Tract 141301) | $240K | $291K | +21.2% | |
| New Haven (Tract 140500) | $368K | $443K | +20.4% | |
| Milford city (balance) | $392K | $466K | +18.8% | |
| Meriden (Tract 170200) | $172K | $203K | +17.9% | |
| Meriden (Tract 171100) | $236K | $277K | +17.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallingford Center · (Tract 1753) | $329K | $357K | $214K | |
| Meriden (Tract 171600) | $223K | $247K | $112K | |
| Meriden (Tract 171400) | $184K | $196K | $106K | |
| New Haven (Tract 142605) | $189K | $199K | $103K | |
| Meriden (Tract 171500) | $189K | $212K | $96K | |
| New Haven (Tract 361401) | $115K | $123K | $77K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.