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Lower Connecticut River Valley, CT · Census Tract 09130595102 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$329K
Downside (P10)
$233K
-29% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$333K
+1% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$444K
+35% by 2030
Base case: +1% by 2030, with a forecast range from -29% to +35%. The model forecasts this with 65% confidence.
| Year | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $329K | $325K | $325K | $329K | $339K | $337K | $333K |
| YoY Change | -1.2% | +0.2% | +1.1% | +3.1% | -0.6% | -1.1% | |
| Downside (P10) | $279K | $246K | $233K | ||||
| Upside (P90) | $401K | $429K | $444K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$279K to $401K
36.0% of median
5-Year Spread
$233K to $444K
63.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| East Haddam · (Tract 5951.2) | $325K | $333K | +2.7% | |
| East Hampton (Tract 550202) | $367K | $423K | +15.1% | |
| Middletown (Tract 680200) | $341K | $374K | +9.5% | |
| Haddam | $351K | $379K | +8.0% | |
| East Hampton (Tract 550100) | $327K | $348K | +6.6% | |
| Middletown (Tract 541500) | $328K | $348K | +6.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| East Haddam · (Tract 5951.2) | $325K | $333K | +2.7% | |
| Middletown (Tract 542200) | $256K | $306K | +19.3% | |
| Middletown (Tract 541302) | $233K | $270K | +16.1% | |
| Middletown (Tract 541700) | $225K | $260K | +15.6% | |
| East Hampton | $367K | $423K | +15.1% | |
| Old Lyme | $512K | $586K | +14.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| East Haddam · (Tract 5951.2) | $325K | $333K | $211K | |
| Middletown (Tract 541200) | $286K | $312K | $127K | |
| Middletown (Tract 541302) | $233K | $270K | $126K | |
| Middletown (Tract 542000) | $276K | $291K | $124K | |
| Middletown (Tract 541301) | $168K | $186K | $92K | |
| Middletown (Tract 541100) | $199K | $215K | $82K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.