What is the home price forecast for Parcel 09110460100 in Farmington?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $482,857 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 7.3%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 09110460100 in Farmington?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $482,857 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 7.3%.

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Parcel 09110460100 (Farmington) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 09110460100, Farmington Home Price Forecast

Capitol, CT · Census Tract 09110460100 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$483K

Downside (P10)

$409K

-15% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$518K

+7% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$679K

+41% by 2030

Base case: +7% by 2030, with a forecast range from -15% to +41%. The model forecasts this with 71% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$398K	$427K	$468K	$483K	$494K	$510K	$518K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$84,557	-$55,957	-$15,057		+$10,885	+$27,462	+$35,407
Growth % vs 2026	-17.5%	-11.6%	-3.1%		+2.3%	+5.7%	+7.3%
Downside (P10)					$439K	$444K	$409K
Upside (P90)					$573K	$617K	$679K

Forecast Confidence

71%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.

Near-term band

$439K to $573K

27.0% of median

Long-horizon band

$409K to $679K

52.2% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +7.3% · Spread: 52%

·The forecast implies steady near-term growth accelerating over the longer horizon.
·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 09110460100, Farmington on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).