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Weld, CO · ZIP 80621 · Census Tract 08123001912 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$503K
Downside (P10)
$422K
-16% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$529K
+5% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$667K
+33% by 2030
Base case: +5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -16% to +33%. The model forecasts this with 74% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $335K | $350K | $415K | $440K | $487K | $503K | $500K | $529K | $529K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$168,266 | -$152,566 | -$87,966 | -$62,766 | -$15,366 | -$2,598 | +$26,404 | +$26,496 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -33.5% | -30.3% | -17.5% | -12.5% | -3.1% | -0.5% | +5.3% | +5.3% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $429K | $436K | $422K | |||||||
| Upside (P90) | $578K | $633K | $667K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$429K to $578K
29.7% of median
Long-horizon band
$422K to $667K
46.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fort Lupton · 80621 · (Tract 19.12) | $493K | $529K | +7.3% | |
| Fort Lupton | $506K | $575K | +13.7% | |
| Greeley (Tract 001412) | $505K | $568K | +12.4% | |
| Greeley (Tract 001407) | $498K | $550K | +10.4% | |
| Johnstown-Milliken | $510K | $552K | +8.3% | |
| Windsor | $498K | $524K | +5.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fort Lupton · 80621 · (Tract 19.12) | $493K | $529K | +7.3% | |
| Fort Lupton | $442K | $527K | +19.2% | |
| Greeley (Tract 000703) | $288K | $342K | +18.7% | |
| La Salle-Gilcrest | $411K | $480K | +16.8% | |
| Erie-Frederick | $633K | $739K | +16.6% | |
| Greeley (Tract 000701) | $272K | $318K | +16.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fort Lupton · 80621 · (Tract 19.12) | $493K | $529K | $246K | |
| Greeley (Tract 001201) | $320K | $352K | $160K | |
| Greeley (Tract 001300) | $313K | $350K | $160K | |
| Evans | $353K | $395K | $156K | |
| Greeley (Tract 000200) | $213K | $221K | $147K | |
| Greeley (Tract 000600) | $265K | $273K | $120K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Weld, CO · ZIP 80621 · Census Tract 08123001912 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$503K
Downside (P10)
$422K
-16% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$529K
+5% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$667K
+33% by 2030
Base case: +5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -16% to +33%. The model forecasts this with 74% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $335K | $350K | $415K | $440K | $487K | $503K | $500K | $529K | $529K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$168,266 | -$152,566 | -$87,966 | -$62,766 | -$15,366 | -$2,598 | +$26,404 | +$26,496 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -33.5% | -30.3% | -17.5% | -12.5% | -3.1% | -0.5% | +5.3% | +5.3% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $429K | $436K | $422K | |||||||
| Upside (P90) | $578K | $633K | $667K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$429K to $578K
29.7% of median
Long-horizon band
$422K to $667K
46.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fort Lupton · 80621 · (Tract 19.12) | $493K | $529K | +7.3% | |
| Fort Lupton | $506K | $575K | +13.7% | |
| Greeley (Tract 001412) | $505K | $568K | +12.4% | |
| Greeley (Tract 001407) | $498K | $550K | +10.4% | |
| Johnstown-Milliken | $510K | $552K | +8.3% | |
| Windsor | $498K | $524K | +5.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fort Lupton · 80621 · (Tract 19.12) | $493K | $529K | +7.3% | |
| Fort Lupton | $442K | $527K | +19.2% | |
| Greeley (Tract 000703) | $288K | $342K | +18.7% | |
| La Salle-Gilcrest | $411K | $480K | +16.8% | |
| Erie-Frederick | $633K | $739K | +16.6% | |
| Greeley (Tract 000701) | $272K | $318K | +16.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fort Lupton · 80621 · (Tract 19.12) | $493K | $529K | $246K | |
| Greeley (Tract 001201) | $320K | $352K | $160K | |
| Greeley (Tract 001300) | $313K | $350K | $160K | |
| Evans | $353K | $395K | $156K | |
| Greeley (Tract 000200) | $213K | $221K | $147K | |
| Greeley (Tract 000600) | $265K | $273K | $120K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
