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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Rio Grande, CO · ZIP 81144 · Census Tract 08105977002 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$259K
Downside (P10)
$206K
-21% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$265K
+2% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$331K
+28% by 2030
Base case: +2% by 2030, with a forecast range from -21% to +28%. The model forecasts this with 74% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $290K | $248K | $241K | $256K | $246K | $259K | $260K | $264K | $265K |
| YoY Change | -14.5% | -3.1% | +6.6% | -4.2% | +5.5% | +0.2% | +1.7% | +0.1% | |
| Downside (P10) | $213K | $206K | $206K | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $300K | $316K | $331K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$213K to $300K
33.7% of median
5-Year Spread
$206K to $331K
47.4% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sargent area | $249K | $265K | +6.3% | |
| Monte Vista | $229K | $254K | +11.1% | |
| Del Norte (Tract 977001) | $447K | $487K | +9.1% | |
| Del Norte (Tract 976800) | $194K | $211K | +8.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sargent area | $249K | $265K | +6.3% | |
| Monte Vista | $229K | $254K | +11.1% | |
| Del Norte (Tract 977001) | $447K | $487K | +9.1% | |
| Del Norte (Tract 976800) | $194K | $211K | +8.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sargent area | $249K | $265K | $125K | |
| Del Norte (Tract 977001) | $447K | $487K | $316K | |
| Monte Vista | $229K | $254K | $151K | |
| Del Norte (Tract 976800) | $194K | $211K | $111K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.