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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Mesa, CO · ZIP 81503 · Census Tract 08077001304 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$302K
Downside (P10)
$258K
-14% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$336K
+11% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$423K
+40% by 2030
Base case: +11% by 2030, with a forecast range from -14% to +40%. The model forecasts this with 73% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $167K | $181K | $225K | $262K | $295K | $302K | $315K | $325K | $336K |
| YoY Change | +8.1% | +24.4% | +16.6% | +12.7% | +2.3% | +4.1% | +3.5% | +3.3% | |
| Downside (P10) | $260K | $264K | $258K | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $369K | $393K | $423K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$260K to $369K
34.6% of median
5-Year Spread
$258K to $423K
48.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grand Junction · 81503 · (Tract 13.4) | $295K | $336K | +14.2% | |
| Grand Junction (Tract 000300) | $293K | $324K | +10.4% | |
| Clifton (Tract 001707) | $290K | $319K | +9.9% | |
| Clifton (Tract 001703) | $313K | $338K | +7.9% | |
| Grand Junction (Tract 001104) | $305K | $329K | +7.7% | |
| Grand Junction (Tract 000400) | $302K | $317K | +4.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grand Junction · 81503 · (Tract 13.4) | $295K | $336K | +14.2% | |
| Grand Junction (Tract 001103) | $391K | $451K | +15.3% | |
| Grand Junction (Tract 000802) | $280K | $322K | +14.8% | |
| Grand Junction (Tract 000801) | $339K | $389K | +14.6% | |
| Grand Junction (Tract 000601) | $326K | $373K | +14.4% | |
| Clifton | $244K | $278K | +14.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grand Junction · 81503 · (Tract 13.4) | $295K | $336K | $164K | |
| Grand Junction (Tract 000601) | $326K | $373K | $173K | |
| Grand Junction (Tract 000400) | $302K | $317K | $155K | |
| Grand Junction (Tract 000602) | $282K | $317K | $153K | |
| Clifton (Tract 001705) | $274K | $309K | $147K | |
| Clifton (Tract 001706) | $244K | $278K | $128K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.