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Larimer, CO · ZIP 80536 · Census Tract 08069002404 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$628K
Downside (P10)
$544K
-13% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$700K
+11% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$860K
+37% by 2030
Base case: +11% by 2030, with a forecast range from -13% to +37%. The model forecasts this with 75% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $388K | $439K | $531K | $580K | $603K | $628K | $628K | $656K | $700K |
| YoY Change | +13.0% | +21.0% | +9.3% | +3.9% | +4.3% | -0.0% | +4.4% | +6.7% | |
| Downside (P10) | $551K | $558K | $544K | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $735K | $807K | $860K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$551K to $735K
29.3% of median
5-Year Spread
$544K to $860K
45.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Livermore | $608K | $700K | +15.2% | |
| Fort Collins (Tract 000902) | $624K | $717K | +14.9% | |
| Fort Collins (Tract 001113) | $629K | $707K | +12.4% | |
| Fort Collins (Tract 000402) | $624K | $677K | +8.5% | |
| Loveland | $632K | $672K | +6.3% | |
| Fort Collins (Tract 001004) | $632K | $645K | +2.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Livermore | $608K | $700K | +15.2% | |
| Livermore (Tract 002401) | $495K | $593K | +19.7% | |
| Fort Collins (Tract 001607) | $553K | $660K | +19.3% | |
| Fort Collins (Tract 000506) | $487K | $579K | +18.7% | |
| Loveland | $807K | $945K | +17.1% | |
| Livermore (Tract 002403) | $722K | $843K | +16.8% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Livermore | $608K | $700K | $316K | |
| Fort Collins (Tract 001109) | $517K | $578K | $218K | |
| Fort Collins (Tract 000505) | $395K | $459K | $205K | |
| Loveland | $448K | $496K | $196K | |
| Fort Collins (Tract 001304) | $86K | $91K | $59K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.