What is the home price forecast for Parcel 08067970706 in Durango?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $615,788 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 14.8%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 08067970706 in Durango?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $615,788 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 14.8%.

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Parcel 08067970706 (Durango) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 08067970706, Durango Home Price Forecast

La Plata, CO · ZIP 81301 · Census Tract 08067970706 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$616K

Downside (P10)

$594K

-3% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$707K

+15% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$929K

+51% by 2030

Base case: +15% by 2030, with a forecast range from -3% to +51%. The model forecasts this with 74% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$540K	$490K	$527K	$540K	$615K	$616K	$643K	$681K	$707K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$76,188	-$126,088	-$88,488	-$75,888	-$1,288		+$27,687	+$64,766	+$91,157
Growth % vs 2026	-12.4%	-20.5%	-14.4%	-12.3%	-0.2%		+4.5%	+10.5%	+14.8%
Downside (P10)							$575K	$597K	$594K
Upside (P90)							$760K	$849K	$929K

Forecast Confidence

74%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.

Near-term band

$575K to $760K

28.8% of median

Long-horizon band

$594K to $929K

47.4% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: strong growth expected5yr expected: +14.8% · Spread: 47%

·The forecast implies steady near-term growth accelerating over the longer horizon.
·The base case is supported by strong local demand signals and a positive medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 08067970706, Durango on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).