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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
El Paso, CO · ZIP 80106 · Census Tract 08041003913 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$742K
Downside (P10)
$588K
-21% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$792K
+7% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.06M
+43% by 2030
Base case: +7% by 2030, with a forecast range from -21% to +43%. The model forecasts this with 67% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $477K | $542K | $683K | $633K | $701K | $742K | $755K | $786K | $792K |
| YoY Change | +13.6% | +26.0% | -7.3% | +10.8% | +5.9% | +1.8% | +4.1% | +0.7% | |
| Downside (P10) | $575K | $549K | $588K | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $901K | $947K | $1.1M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$575K to $901K
43.2% of median
5-Year Spread
$588K to $1.06M
59.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Black Forest-Peyton | $726K | $792K | +9.1% | |
| Black Forest | $739K | $834K | +12.9% | |
| Woodmoor | $771K | $853K | +10.7% | |
| Colorado Springs (Tract 007206) | $783K | $858K | +9.5% | |
| Colorado Springs (Tract 007104) | $744K | $812K | +9.2% | |
| Colorado Springs (Tract 002501) | $723K | $771K | +6.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Black Forest-Peyton | $726K | $792K | +9.1% | |
| Elsmere | $539K | $646K | +20.0% | |
| Colorado Springs (Tract 001301) | $449K | $538K | +19.9% | |
| Colorado Springs (Tract 000103) | $306K | $361K | +18.0% | |
| Colorado Springs (Tract 000700) | $400K | $471K | +17.7% | |
| Colorado Springs (Tract 004707) | $438K | $516K | +17.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Black Forest-Peyton | $726K | $792K | $474K | |
| Colorado Springs (Tract 006100) | $292K | $320K | $142K | |
| Colorado Springs (Tract 002101) | $262K | $295K | $136K | |
| Cimarron Hills (Tract 005000) | $288K | $330K | $125K | |
| Cimarron Hills (Tract 005114) | $121K | $136K | $82K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.