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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
El Paso, CO · ZIP 80911 · Census Tract 08041004300 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$368K
Downside (P10)
$331K
-10% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$405K
+10% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$558K
+52% by 2030
Base case: +10% by 2030, with a forecast range from -10% to +52%. The model forecasts this with 69% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $173K | $179K | $188K | $194K | $205K | $242K | $265K | $325K | $349K | $371K | $368K | $384K | $399K | $405K | $385K |
| YoY Change | +3.4% | +5.0% | +3.0% | +5.8% | +18.2% | +9.4% | +22.5% | +7.4% | +6.5% | -0.9% | +4.3% | +4.0% | +1.5% | -4.9% | |
| Downside (P10) | $337K | $334K | $331K | $343K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $444K | $474K | $558K | $431K |
The forecast range is very tight for this market, indicating strong model confidence. Near-term outcomes are constrained and remain highly predictable through the full horizon.
1-Year Spread
$337K to $444K
27.9% of median
5-Year Spread
$343K to $431K
22.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Security-Widefield · Colorado Springs · (Tract 43) | $371K | $405K | +9.1% | |
| Fountain | $367K | $422K | +15.2% | |
| Security-Widefield | $362K | $403K | +11.5% | |
| Colorado Springs (Tract 002000) | $376K | $410K | +9.1% | |
| Colorado Springs (Tract 006301) | $362K | $384K | +6.3% | |
| Colorado Springs (Tract 005502) | $370K | $394K | +6.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Security-Widefield · Colorado Springs · (Tract 43) | $371K | $405K | +9.1% | |
| Elsmere | $539K | $646K | +20.0% | |
| Colorado Springs (Tract 001301) | $449K | $538K | +19.9% | |
| Colorado Springs (Tract 000103) | $306K | $361K | +18.0% | |
| Colorado Springs (Tract 000700) | $400K | $471K | +17.7% | |
| Colorado Springs (Tract 004707) | $438K | $516K | +17.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Security-Widefield · Colorado Springs · (Tract 43) | $371K | $405K | $227K | |
| Colorado Springs (Tract 006100) | $292K | $320K | $142K | |
| Colorado Springs (Tract 002101) | $262K | $295K | $136K | |
| Cimarron Hills (Tract 005000) | $288K | $330K | $125K | |
| Cimarron Hills (Tract 005114) | $121K | $136K | $82K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.