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El Paso, CO · ZIP 80915 · Census Tract 08041005110 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$380K
Downside (P10)
$311K
-18% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$396K
+4% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$586K
+54% by 2030
Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -18% to +54%. The model forecasts this with 62% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $158K | $159K | $163K | $176K | $193K | $222K | $238K | $291K | $314K | $368K | $380K | $382K | $390K | $396K |
| YoY Change | +0.5% | +2.4% | +8.1% | +9.8% | +14.6% | +7.3% | +22.5% | +8.0% | +17.0% | +3.3% | +0.5% | +2.0% | +1.6% | |
| Downside (P10) | $324K | $331K | $311K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $474K | $531K | $586K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$324K to $474K
39.3% of median
5-Year Spread
$311K to $586K
69.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cimarron Hills · Colorado Springs · (Tract 51.10) | $378K | $396K | +4.7% | |
| Colorado Springs (Tract 003001) | $380K | $419K | +10.2% | |
| Security-Widefield | $380K | $381K | +0.2% | |
| Fountain | $382K | $422K | +10.5% | |
| Colorado Springs (Tract 002200) | $383K | $413K | +7.9% | |
| Colorado Springs (Tract 005201) | $376K | $417K | +10.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cimarron Hills · Colorado Springs · (Tract 51.10) | $378K | $396K | +4.7% | |
| Elsmere | $539K | $646K | +20.0% | |
| Colorado Springs (Tract 001301) | $449K | $538K | +19.9% | |
| Colorado Springs (Tract 000103) | $306K | $361K | +18.0% | |
| Colorado Springs (Tract 000700) | $400K | $471K | +17.7% | |
| Colorado Springs (Tract 004707) | $438K | $516K | +17.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cimarron Hills · Colorado Springs · (Tract 51.10) | $378K | $396K | $275K | |
| Cimarron Hills (Tract 005114) | $121K | $136K | $82K | |
| Cimarron Hills (Tract 005000) | $288K | $330K | $125K | |
| Colorado Springs (Tract 002101) | $262K | $295K | $136K | |
| Colorado Springs (Tract 006100) | $292K | $320K | $142K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.