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Douglas, CO · ZIP 80134 · Census Tract 08035014005 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$603K
Downside (P10)
$519K
-14% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$682K
+13% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$891K
+48% by 2030
Base case: +13% by 2030, with a forecast range from -14% to +48%. The model forecasts this with 70% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $283K | $287K | $307K | $355K | $388K | $427K | $469K | $531K | $564K | $580K | $603K | $615K | $644K | $682K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$320,582 | -$316,482 | -$296,482 | -$248,682 | -$215,782 | -$175,982 | -$134,782 | -$71,982 | -$39,282 | -$23,082 | +$11,644 | +$40,245 | +$78,493 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -53.1% | -52.5% | -49.1% | -41.2% | -35.8% | -29.2% | -22.3% | -11.9% | -6.5% | -3.8% | +1.9% | +6.7% | +13.0% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $532K | $539K | $519K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $762K | $857K | $891K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.
Near-term band
$532K to $762K
37.3% of median
Long-horizon band
$519K to $891K
54.4% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stonegate | $582K | $682K | +17.2% | |
| Parker | $593K | $717K | +20.8% | |
| Sedalia | $594K | $669K | +12.5% | |
| Highlands Ranch (Tract 014146) | $635K | $703K | +10.8% | |
| Highlands Ranch (Tract 014128) | $605K | $662K | +9.5% | |
| Castle Rock | $591K | $589K | -0.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stonegate | $582K | $682K | +17.2% | |
| Parker (Tract 014014) | $593K | $717K | +20.8% | |
| Parker (Tract 014008) | $713K | $833K | +16.8% | |
| Sedalia | $909K | $1.05M | +15.6% | |
| Lone Tree | $1.03M | $1.19M | +15.0% | |
| Castle Rock | $998K | $1.14M | +14.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stonegate | $582K | $682K | $371K | |
| Sedalia | $594K | $669K | $307K | |
| Castle Rock (Tract 014504) | $501K | $547K | $306K | |
| Castle Rock (Tract 014503) | $591K | $589K | $296K | |
| Parker (Tract 013907) | $637K | $686K | $287K | |
| Parker (Tract 014015) | $439K | $462K | $240K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Douglas, CO · ZIP 80134 · Census Tract 08035014005 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$603K
Downside (P10)
$519K
-14% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$682K
+13% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$891K
+48% by 2030
Base case: +13% by 2030, with a forecast range from -14% to +48%. The model forecasts this with 70% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $283K | $287K | $307K | $355K | $388K | $427K | $469K | $531K | $564K | $580K | $603K | $615K | $644K | $682K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$320,582 | -$316,482 | -$296,482 | -$248,682 | -$215,782 | -$175,982 | -$134,782 | -$71,982 | -$39,282 | -$23,082 | +$11,644 | +$40,245 | +$78,493 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -53.1% | -52.5% | -49.1% | -41.2% | -35.8% | -29.2% | -22.3% | -11.9% | -6.5% | -3.8% | +1.9% | +6.7% | +13.0% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $532K | $539K | $519K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $762K | $857K | $891K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.
Near-term band
$532K to $762K
37.3% of median
Long-horizon band
$519K to $891K
54.4% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stonegate | $582K | $682K | +17.2% | |
| Parker | $593K | $717K | +20.8% | |
| Sedalia | $594K | $669K | +12.5% | |
| Highlands Ranch (Tract 014146) | $635K | $703K | +10.8% | |
| Highlands Ranch (Tract 014128) | $605K | $662K | +9.5% | |
| Castle Rock | $591K | $589K | -0.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stonegate | $582K | $682K | +17.2% | |
| Parker (Tract 014014) | $593K | $717K | +20.8% | |
| Parker (Tract 014008) | $713K | $833K | +16.8% | |
| Sedalia | $909K | $1.05M | +15.6% | |
| Lone Tree | $1.03M | $1.19M | +15.0% | |
| Castle Rock | $998K | $1.14M | +14.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stonegate | $582K | $682K | $371K | |
| Sedalia | $594K | $669K | $307K | |
| Castle Rock (Tract 014504) | $501K | $547K | $306K | |
| Castle Rock (Tract 014503) | $591K | $589K | $296K | |
| Parker (Tract 013907) | $637K | $686K | $287K | |
| Parker (Tract 014015) | $439K | $462K | $240K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
