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Douglas, CO · ZIP 80125 · Census Tract 08035014203 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$752K
Downside (P10)
$671K
-11% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$862K
+15% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.18M
+58% by 2030
Base case: +15% by 2030, with a forecast range from -11% to +58%. The model forecasts this with 67% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $380K | $416K | $439K | $452K | $480K | $489K | $498K | $636K | $707K | $765K | $752K | $808K | $830K | $862K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$372,199 | -$335,499 | -$313,099 | -$299,699 | -$271,799 | -$262,899 | -$253,799 | -$116,299 | -$44,699 | +$12,901 | +$56,479 | +$78,296 | +$110,472 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -49.5% | -44.6% | -41.6% | -39.9% | -36.2% | -35.0% | -33.8% | -15.5% | -5.9% | +1.7% | +7.5% | +10.4% | +14.7% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $674K | $672K | $671K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $935K | $1.0M | $1.2M |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$674K to $935K
32.3% of median
Long-horizon band
$671K to $1.2M
59.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roxborough Park · Littleton · (Tract 142.3) | $765K | $862K | +12.7% | |
| Highlands Ranch (Tract 014143) | $742K | $830K | +11.8% | |
| Parker (Tract 014007) | $765K | $851K | +11.2% | |
| Highlands Ranch (Tract 014129) | $768K | $854K | +11.1% | |
| Castle Rock | $744K | $782K | +5.1% | |
| Parker (Tract 014016) | $733K | $751K | +2.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roxborough Park · Littleton · (Tract 142.3) | $765K | $862K | +12.7% | |
| Parker (Tract 014014) | $593K | $717K | +20.8% | |
| Stonegate | $582K | $682K | +17.2% | |
| Parker (Tract 014008) | $713K | $833K | +16.8% | |
| Sedalia | $909K | $1.05M | +15.6% | |
| Lone Tree | $1.03M | $1.19M | +15.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roxborough Park · Littleton · (Tract 142.3) | $765K | $862K | $514K | |
| Sedalia | $594K | $669K | $307K | |
| Castle Rock (Tract 014504) | $501K | $547K | $306K | |
| Castle Rock (Tract 014503) | $591K | $589K | $296K | |
| Parker (Tract 013907) | $637K | $686K | $287K | |
| Parker (Tract 014015) | $439K | $462K | $240K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Douglas, CO · ZIP 80125 · Census Tract 08035014203 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$752K
Downside (P10)
$671K
-11% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$862K
+15% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.18M
+58% by 2030
Base case: +15% by 2030, with a forecast range from -11% to +58%. The model forecasts this with 67% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $380K | $416K | $439K | $452K | $480K | $489K | $498K | $636K | $707K | $765K | $752K | $808K | $830K | $862K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$372,199 | -$335,499 | -$313,099 | -$299,699 | -$271,799 | -$262,899 | -$253,799 | -$116,299 | -$44,699 | +$12,901 | +$56,479 | +$78,296 | +$110,472 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -49.5% | -44.6% | -41.6% | -39.9% | -36.2% | -35.0% | -33.8% | -15.5% | -5.9% | +1.7% | +7.5% | +10.4% | +14.7% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $674K | $672K | $671K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $935K | $1.0M | $1.2M |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$674K to $935K
32.3% of median
Long-horizon band
$671K to $1.2M
59.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roxborough Park · Littleton · (Tract 142.3) | $765K | $862K | +12.7% | |
| Highlands Ranch (Tract 014143) | $742K | $830K | +11.8% | |
| Parker (Tract 014007) | $765K | $851K | +11.2% | |
| Highlands Ranch (Tract 014129) | $768K | $854K | +11.1% | |
| Castle Rock | $744K | $782K | +5.1% | |
| Parker (Tract 014016) | $733K | $751K | +2.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roxborough Park · Littleton · (Tract 142.3) | $765K | $862K | +12.7% | |
| Parker (Tract 014014) | $593K | $717K | +20.8% | |
| Stonegate | $582K | $682K | +17.2% | |
| Parker (Tract 014008) | $713K | $833K | +16.8% | |
| Sedalia | $909K | $1.05M | +15.6% | |
| Lone Tree | $1.03M | $1.19M | +15.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roxborough Park · Littleton · (Tract 142.3) | $765K | $862K | $514K | |
| Sedalia | $594K | $669K | $307K | |
| Castle Rock (Tract 014504) | $501K | $547K | $306K | |
| Castle Rock (Tract 014503) | $591K | $589K | $296K | |
| Parker (Tract 013907) | $637K | $686K | $287K | |
| Parker (Tract 014015) | $439K | $462K | $240K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
