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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Douglas, CO · ZIP 80134 · Census Tract 08035013914 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$728K
Downside (P10)
$585K
-20% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$749K
+3% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$947K
+30% by 2030
Base case: +3% by 2030, with a forecast range from -20% to +30%. The model forecasts this with 73% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $509K | $552K | $637K | $664K | $708K | $728K | $752K | $745K | $749K |
| YoY Change | +8.3% | +15.4% | +4.4% | +6.5% | +2.8% | +3.3% | -0.9% | +0.6% | |
| Downside (P10) | $607K | $602K | $585K | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $878K | $916K | $947K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$607K to $878K
36.0% of median
5-Year Spread
$585K to $947K
48.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parker · 80134 · (Tract 139.14) | $710K | $749K | +5.6% | |
| Parker (Tract 014008) | $713K | $833K | +16.8% | |
| Highlands Ranch (Tract 014143) | $742K | $830K | +11.8% | |
| Castle Rock | $744K | $782K | +5.1% | |
| Highlands Ranch (Tract 014107) | $717K | $743K | +3.6% | |
| Parker (Tract 014016) | $733K | $751K | +2.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parker · 80134 · (Tract 139.14) | $710K | $749K | +5.6% | |
| Parker (Tract 014014) | $593K | $717K | +20.8% | |
| Stonegate | $582K | $682K | +17.2% | |
| Parker (Tract 014008) | $713K | $833K | +16.8% | |
| Sedalia | $909K | $1.05M | +15.6% | |
| Lone Tree | $1.03M | $1.19M | +15.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parker · 80134 · (Tract 139.14) | $710K | $749K | $361K | |
| Sedalia | $594K | $669K | $307K | |
| Castle Rock (Tract 014504) | $501K | $547K | $306K | |
| Castle Rock (Tract 014503) | $591K | $589K | $296K | |
| Parker (Tract 013907) | $637K | $686K | $287K | |
| Parker (Tract 014015) | $439K | $462K | $240K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.