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Douglas, CO · ZIP 80138 · Census Tract 08035013911 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$810K
Downside (P10)
$666K
-18% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$871K
+8% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.15M
+42% by 2030
Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -18% to +42%. The model forecasts this with 69% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $402K | $426K | $468K | $496K | $525K | $568K | $585K | $662K | $708K | $802K | $810K | $845K | $864K | $871K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$408,681 | -$384,481 | -$342,281 | -$314,581 | -$285,281 | -$242,181 | -$224,781 | -$147,881 | -$102,181 | -$8,081 | +$34,816 | +$53,768 | +$61,259 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -50.4% | -47.5% | -42.2% | -38.8% | -35.2% | -29.9% | -27.7% | -18.3% | -12.6% | -1.0% | +4.3% | +6.6% | +7.6% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $701K | $659K | $666K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $979K | $1.1M | $1.2M |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$701K to $979K
33.0% of median
Long-horizon band
$666K to $1.2M
56.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parker · 80138 · (Tract 139.11) | $803K | $871K | +8.5% | |
| Sedalia (Tract 014140) | $827K | $923K | +11.6% | |
| Sedalia (Tract 014208) | $821K | $895K | +9.0% | |
| Sedalia (Tract 014134) | $801K | $863K | +7.7% | |
| Parker | $789K | $809K | +2.5% | |
| Sedalia (Tract 014205) | $815K | $798K | -2.1% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parker · 80138 · (Tract 139.11) | $803K | $871K | +8.5% | |
| Parker (Tract 014014) | $593K | $717K | +20.8% | |
| Stonegate | $582K | $682K | +17.2% | |
| Parker (Tract 014008) | $713K | $833K | +16.8% | |
| Sedalia | $909K | $1.05M | +15.6% | |
| Lone Tree | $1.03M | $1.19M | +15.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parker · 80138 · (Tract 139.11) | $803K | $871K | $488K | |
| Sedalia | $594K | $669K | $307K | |
| Castle Rock (Tract 014504) | $501K | $547K | $306K | |
| Castle Rock (Tract 014503) | $591K | $589K | $296K | |
| Parker (Tract 013907) | $637K | $686K | $287K | |
| Parker (Tract 014015) | $439K | $462K | $240K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Douglas, CO · ZIP 80138 · Census Tract 08035013911 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$810K
Downside (P10)
$666K
-18% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$871K
+8% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.15M
+42% by 2030
Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -18% to +42%. The model forecasts this with 69% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $402K | $426K | $468K | $496K | $525K | $568K | $585K | $662K | $708K | $802K | $810K | $845K | $864K | $871K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$408,681 | -$384,481 | -$342,281 | -$314,581 | -$285,281 | -$242,181 | -$224,781 | -$147,881 | -$102,181 | -$8,081 | +$34,816 | +$53,768 | +$61,259 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -50.4% | -47.5% | -42.2% | -38.8% | -35.2% | -29.9% | -27.7% | -18.3% | -12.6% | -1.0% | +4.3% | +6.6% | +7.6% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $701K | $659K | $666K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $979K | $1.1M | $1.2M |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$701K to $979K
33.0% of median
Long-horizon band
$666K to $1.2M
56.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parker · 80138 · (Tract 139.11) | $803K | $871K | +8.5% | |
| Sedalia (Tract 014140) | $827K | $923K | +11.6% | |
| Sedalia (Tract 014208) | $821K | $895K | +9.0% | |
| Sedalia (Tract 014134) | $801K | $863K | +7.7% | |
| Parker | $789K | $809K | +2.5% | |
| Sedalia (Tract 014205) | $815K | $798K | -2.1% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parker · 80138 · (Tract 139.11) | $803K | $871K | +8.5% | |
| Parker (Tract 014014) | $593K | $717K | +20.8% | |
| Stonegate | $582K | $682K | +17.2% | |
| Parker (Tract 014008) | $713K | $833K | +16.8% | |
| Sedalia | $909K | $1.05M | +15.6% | |
| Lone Tree | $1.03M | $1.19M | +15.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parker · 80138 · (Tract 139.11) | $803K | $871K | $488K | |
| Sedalia | $594K | $669K | $307K | |
| Castle Rock (Tract 014504) | $501K | $547K | $306K | |
| Castle Rock (Tract 014503) | $591K | $589K | $296K | |
| Parker (Tract 013907) | $637K | $686K | $287K | |
| Parker (Tract 014015) | $439K | $462K | $240K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
