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Boulder, CO · ZIP 80540 · Census Tract 08013013602 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$685K
Downside (P10)
$593K
-13% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$729K
+6% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.16M
+70% by 2030
Base case: +6% by 2030, with a forecast range from -13% to +70%. The model forecasts this with 57% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $297K | $338K | $368K | $362K | $397K | $375K | $397K | $471K | $605K | $676K | $685K | $700K | $732K | $729K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$387,859 | -$347,559 | -$317,659 | -$323,459 | -$288,159 | -$310,259 | -$288,659 | -$213,959 | -$80,159 | -$9,059 | +$15,043 | +$46,592 | +$44,068 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -56.6% | -50.7% | -46.4% | -47.2% | -42.1% | -45.3% | -42.1% | -31.2% | -11.7% | -1.3% | +2.2% | +6.8% | +6.4% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $602K | $593K | $593K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $861K | $1.0M | $1.2M |
The predictive band is wider than average, so point estimates should be read with caution. Short-term confidence is usable, but the farther-out range broadens significantly.
Near-term band
$602K to $861K
37.0% of median
Long-horizon band
$593K to $1.2M
78.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Upper St. Vrain | $693K | $729K | +5.3% | |
| Bald Mountain | $706K | $790K | +11.9% | |
| Boulder (Tract 012208) | $693K | $761K | +9.9% | |
| Boulder (Tract 012605) | $674K | $728K | +7.9% | |
| Longmont (Tract 013302) | $671K | $723K | +7.8% | |
| Longmont (Tract 013207) | $670K | $696K | +3.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Upper St. Vrain | $693K | $729K | +5.3% | |
| Longmont (Tract 013601) | $869K | $1.06M | +22.2% | |
| Boulder (Tract 012610) | $380K | $460K | +21.1% | |
| Boulder (Tract 012705) | $549K | $650K | +18.5% | |
| Longmont (Tract 013202) | $1.24M | $1.47M | +18.2% | |
| Bald Mountain | $1.04M | $1.21M | +17.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Upper St. Vrain | $693K | $729K | $570K | |
| Longmont (Tract 013505) | $441K | $516K | $254K | |
| Longmont (Tract 013402) | $520K | $541K | $249K | |
| Longmont (Tract 013306) | $488K | $505K | $235K | |
| Longmont (Tract 013401) | $451K | $493K | $230K | |
| Lafayette-Louisville | $300K | $322K | $158K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Boulder, CO · ZIP 80540 · Census Tract 08013013602 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$685K
Downside (P10)
$593K
-13% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$729K
+6% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.16M
+70% by 2030
Base case: +6% by 2030, with a forecast range from -13% to +70%. The model forecasts this with 57% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $297K | $338K | $368K | $362K | $397K | $375K | $397K | $471K | $605K | $676K | $685K | $700K | $732K | $729K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$387,859 | -$347,559 | -$317,659 | -$323,459 | -$288,159 | -$310,259 | -$288,659 | -$213,959 | -$80,159 | -$9,059 | +$15,043 | +$46,592 | +$44,068 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -56.6% | -50.7% | -46.4% | -47.2% | -42.1% | -45.3% | -42.1% | -31.2% | -11.7% | -1.3% | +2.2% | +6.8% | +6.4% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $602K | $593K | $593K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $861K | $1.0M | $1.2M |
The predictive band is wider than average, so point estimates should be read with caution. Short-term confidence is usable, but the farther-out range broadens significantly.
Near-term band
$602K to $861K
37.0% of median
Long-horizon band
$593K to $1.2M
78.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Upper St. Vrain | $693K | $729K | +5.3% | |
| Bald Mountain | $706K | $790K | +11.9% | |
| Boulder (Tract 012208) | $693K | $761K | +9.9% | |
| Boulder (Tract 012605) | $674K | $728K | +7.9% | |
| Longmont (Tract 013302) | $671K | $723K | +7.8% | |
| Longmont (Tract 013207) | $670K | $696K | +3.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Upper St. Vrain | $693K | $729K | +5.3% | |
| Longmont (Tract 013601) | $869K | $1.06M | +22.2% | |
| Boulder (Tract 012610) | $380K | $460K | +21.1% | |
| Boulder (Tract 012705) | $549K | $650K | +18.5% | |
| Longmont (Tract 013202) | $1.24M | $1.47M | +18.2% | |
| Bald Mountain | $1.04M | $1.21M | +17.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Upper St. Vrain | $693K | $729K | $570K | |
| Longmont (Tract 013505) | $441K | $516K | $254K | |
| Longmont (Tract 013402) | $520K | $541K | $249K | |
| Longmont (Tract 013306) | $488K | $505K | $235K | |
| Longmont (Tract 013401) | $451K | $493K | $230K | |
| Lafayette-Louisville | $300K | $322K | $158K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
