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Arapahoe, CO · ZIP 80137 · Census Tract 08005007106 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$629K
Downside (P10)
$583K
-7% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$707K
+12% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$893K
+42% by 2030
Base case: +12% by 2030, with a forecast range from -7% to +42%. The model forecasts this with 76% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $321K | $340K | $366K | $389K | $421K | $445K | $468K | $561K | $605K | $601K | $629K | $663K | $665K | $707K |
| YoY Change | +6.1% | +7.5% | +6.5% | +8.2% | +5.6% | +5.2% | +20.0% | +7.7% | -0.5% | +4.7% | +5.4% | +0.3% | +6.2% | |
| Downside (P10) | $555K | $562K | $583K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $790K | $829K | $893K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$555K to $790K
35.5% of median
5-Year Spread
$583K to $893K
43.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| East Arapahoe | $614K | $707K | +15.1% | |
| Centennial (Tract 085500) | $634K | $756K | +19.3% | |
| Centennial (Tract 005631) | $629K | $699K | +11.1% | |
| Centennial (Tract 005630) | $633K | $697K | +10.1% | |
| South Aurora | $627K | $652K | +4.0% | |
| Englewood | $621K | $638K | +2.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| East Arapahoe | $614K | $707K | +15.1% | |
| South Aurora | $661K | $797K | +20.5% | |
| Englewood | $566K | $677K | +19.6% | |
| Centennial | $634K | $756K | +19.3% | |
| Southwest Arapahoe | $926K | $1.10M | +18.7% | |
| Hampden South | $743K | $876K | +17.9% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| East Arapahoe | $614K | $707K | $310K | |
| Aurora (Tract 081001) | $261K | $284K | $181K | |
| Aurora (Tract 083900) | $404K | $448K | $174K | |
| Aurora (Tract 081500) | $345K | $359K | $165K | |
| Hampden | $288K | $294K | $163K | |
| Aurora (Tract 081102) | $285K | $303K | $138K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.