Arapahoe, CO · ZIP 80113 · Census Tract 08005006704 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$2.07M
Downside (P10)
$1.67M
-19% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$2.18M
+5% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$3.14M
+52% by 2030
Base case: +5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -19% to +52%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar Arapahoe markets.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $1.2M | $1.2M | $1.2M | $1.5M | $1.6M | $1.7M | $1.8M | $2.0M | $2.0M | $2.0M | $2.1M | $2.1M | $2.2M | $2.2M |
| YoY Change | -0.8% | +2.4% | +25.2% | +6.8% | +3.0% | +8.3% | +9.2% | +0.0% | +0.0% | +3.6% | +1.3% | +4.5% | -0.8% | |
| Downside (P10) | $1.8M | $1.7M | $1.7M | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $2.7M | $2.9M | $3.1M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$1.77M to $2.66M
42.3% of median
5-Year Spread
$1.67M to $3.14M
67.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cherry Hills Village · Englewood · (Tract 67.4) | $2.03M | $2.18M | +7.0% | |
| Greenwood Village | $2.02M | $2.30M | +13.6% | |
| Cherry Hills Village | $2.01M | $2.22M | +10.4% | |
| Southwest Arapahoe | $1.66M | $1.83M | +10.3% | |
| Southwest Arapahoe | $1.61M | $1.66M | +3.0% | |
| Greenwood Village | $1.47M | $1.58M | +8.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cherry Hills Village · Englewood · (Tract 67.4) | $2.03M | $2.18M | +7.0% | |
| South Aurora | $661K | $797K | +20.5% | |
| Englewood | $566K | $677K | +19.6% | |
| Centennial | $634K | $756K | +19.3% | |
| Southwest Arapahoe | $926K | $1.10M | +18.7% | |
| Hampden South | $743K | $876K | +17.9% |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.