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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Arapahoe, CO · ZIP 80017 · Census Tract 08005082100 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$477K
Downside (P10)
$429K
-10% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$537K
+13% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$750K
+57% by 2030
Base case: +13% by 2030, with a forecast range from -10% to +57%. The model forecasts this with 67% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $193K | $212K | $236K | $281K | $306K | $338K | $362K | $400K | $447K | $466K | $477K | $491K | $527K | $537K | $489K |
| YoY Change | +9.9% | +11.6% | +18.7% | +9.0% | +10.5% | +7.0% | +10.6% | +11.7% | +4.2% | +2.4% | +2.9% | +7.4% | +1.8% | -9.0% | |
| Downside (P10) | $414K | $433K | $429K | $437K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $590K | $704K | $750K | $550K |
The forecast range is very tight for this market, indicating strong model confidence. Near-term outcomes are constrained and remain highly predictable through the full horizon.
1-Year Spread
$414K to $590K
35.8% of median
5-Year Spread
$437K to $550K
23.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aurora · 80017 · (Tract 821) | $473K | $537K | +13.6% | |
| Aurora (Tract 084500) | $484K | $550K | +13.6% | |
| Aurora (Tract 081400) | $483K | $548K | +13.5% | |
| Aurora (Tract 082700) | $479K | $527K | +10.0% | |
| Aurora (Tract 080000) | $469K | $513K | +9.4% | |
| Aurora (Tract 084300) | $472K | $515K | +9.1% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aurora · 80017 · (Tract 821) | $473K | $537K | +13.6% | |
| South Aurora | $661K | $797K | +20.5% | |
| Englewood | $566K | $677K | +19.6% | |
| Centennial | $634K | $756K | +19.3% | |
| Southwest Arapahoe | $926K | $1.10M | +18.7% | |
| Hampden South | $743K | $876K | +17.9% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aurora · 80017 · (Tract 821) | $473K | $537K | $321K | |
| Aurora (Tract 081001) | $261K | $284K | $181K | |
| Aurora (Tract 083900) | $404K | $448K | $174K | |
| Aurora (Tract 081500) | $345K | $359K | $165K | |
| Hampden | $288K | $294K | $163K | |
| Aurora (Tract 081102) | $285K | $303K | $138K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.