What is the home price forecast for Parcel 08001008554 in Thornton · 80241 · (Tract 85.54)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $496,021 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 6.3%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 08001008554 in Thornton · 80241 · (Tract 85.54)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $496,021 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 6.3%.

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Parcel 08001008554 (Thornton) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 08001008554, Thornton · 80241 · (Tract 85.54) Home Price Forecast

Adams, CO · ZIP 80241 · Census Tract 08001008554 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$496K

Downside (P10)

$419K

-16% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$527K

+6% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$646K

+30% by 2030

Base case: +6% by 2030, with a forecast range from -16% to +30%. The model forecasts this with 76% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$361K	$382K	$467K	$466K	$483K	$496K	$493K	$521K	$527K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$135,521	-$113,721	-$28,921	-$29,921	-$12,821		-$3,058	+$24,840	+$31,200
Growth % vs 2026	-27.3%	-22.9%	-5.8%	-6.0%	-2.6%		-0.6%	+5.0%	+6.3%
Downside (P10)							$457K	$450K	$419K
Upside (P90)							$574K	$615K	$646K

Forecast Confidence

76%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.

Near-term band

$457K to $574K

23.9% of median

Long-horizon band

$419K to $646K

43.0% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +6.3% · Spread: 43%

·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 08001008554, Thornton · 80241 · (Tract 85.54) on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).