What is the home price forecast for Parcel 06111005006 in El Rio?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $679,897 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 5.1%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 06111005006 in El Rio?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $679,897 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 5.1%.

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Parcel 06111005006 (El Rio) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 06111005006, El Rio Home Price Forecast

Ventura, CA · ZIP 93036 · Census Tract 06111005006 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$680K

Downside (P10)

$557K

-18% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$714K

+5% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$887K

+30% by 2030

Base case: +5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -18% to +30%. The model forecasts this with 75% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$465K	$483K	$622K	$671K	$659K	$680K	$675K	$695K	$714K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$215,397	-$197,097	-$58,097	-$8,797	-$20,497		-$5,091	+$15,499	+$34,474
Growth % vs 2026	-31.7%	-29.0%	-8.5%	-1.3%	-3.0%		-0.7%	+2.3%	+5.1%
Downside (P10)							$562K	$583K	$557K
Upside (P90)							$806K	$866K	$887K

Forecast Confidence

75%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.

Near-term band

$562K to $806K

36.1% of median

Long-horizon band

$557K to $887K

46.2% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +5.1% · Spread: 46%

·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 06111005006, El Rio on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).