What is the home price forecast for Parcel 06109005102 in Sonora · Jamestown · (Tract 51.2)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $467,238 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 11.3%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 06109005102 in Sonora · Jamestown · (Tract 51.2)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $467,238 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 11.3%.

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Parcel 06109005102 (Sonora) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 06109005102, Sonora · Jamestown · (Tract 51.2) Home Price Forecast

Tuolumne, CA · ZIP 95327 · Census Tract 06109005102 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$467K

Downside (P10)

$384K

-18% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$520K

+11% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$650K

+39% by 2030

Base case: +11% by 2030, with a forecast range from -18% to +39%. The model forecasts this with 72% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$331K	$333K	$387K	$442K	$439K	$467K	$472K	$503K	$520K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$136,738	-$134,638	-$80,238	-$25,138	-$28,038		+$4,551	+$35,432	+$52,711
Growth % vs 2026	-29.3%	-28.8%	-17.2%	-5.4%	-6.0%		+1.0%	+7.6%	+11.3%
Downside (P10)							$390K	$385K	$384K
Upside (P90)							$557K	$623K	$650K

Forecast Confidence

72%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.

Near-term band

$390K to $557K

35.5% of median

Long-horizon band

$384K to $650K

51.2% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: strong growth expected5yr expected: +11.3% · Spread: 51%

·The base case is supported by strong local demand signals and a positive medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 06109005102, Sonora · Jamestown · (Tract 51.2) on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).