What is the home price forecast for Parcel 06099000914 in Modesto · 95355 · (Tract 9.14)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $641,550 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 4.5%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 06099000914 in Modesto · 95355 · (Tract 9.14)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $641,550 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 4.5%.

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Parcel 06099000914 (Modesto) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 06099000914, Modesto · 95355 · (Tract 9.14) Home Price Forecast

Stanislaus, CA · ZIP 95355 · Census Tract 06099000914 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$642K

Downside (P10)

$542K

-16% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$671K

+5% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$843K

+31% by 2030

Base case: +5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -16% to +31%. The model forecasts this with 75% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$416K	$447K	$535K	$594K	$628K	$642K	$643K	$656K	$671K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$225,450	-$194,550	-$106,950	-$47,750	-$13,750		+$1,347	+$14,049	+$28,991
Growth % vs 2026	-35.1%	-30.3%	-16.7%	-7.4%	-2.1%		+0.2%	+2.2%	+4.5%
Downside (P10)							$532K	$518K	$542K
Upside (P90)							$789K	$809K	$843K

Forecast Confidence

75%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.

Near-term band

$532K to $789K

40.0% of median

Long-horizon band

$542K to $843K

44.8% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +4.5% · Spread: 45%

·The forecast implies relatively stable values through the full horizon, with modest movements in either direction.
·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 06099000914, Modesto · 95355 · (Tract 9.14) on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).