What is the home price forecast for Parcel 06097150501 in Sonoma · Glen Ellen · (Tract 1505.1)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $1,312,231 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 7.6%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 06097150501 in Sonoma · Glen Ellen · (Tract 1505.1)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $1,312,231 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 7.6%.

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Parcel 06097150501 (Sonoma) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 06097150501, Sonoma · Glen Ellen · (Tract 1505.1) Home Price Forecast

Sonoma, CA · ZIP 95442 · Census Tract 06097150501 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$1.31M

Downside (P10)

$1.16M

-12% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$1.41M

+8% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$1.85M

+41% by 2030

Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -12% to +41%. The model forecasts this with 73% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$1.1M	$1.1M	$1.4M	$1.4M	$1.3M	$1.3M	$1.3M	$1.4M	$1.4M
Growth $ vs 2026	-$224,331	-$232,531	+$64,370	+$51,770	+$24,770		+$22,771	+$80,199	+$99,551
Growth % vs 2026	-17.1%	-17.7%	+4.9%	+3.9%	+1.9%		+1.7%	+6.1%	+7.6%
Downside (P10)							$1.2M	$1.2M	$1.2M
Upside (P90)							$1.6M	$1.7M	$1.8M

Forecast Confidence

73%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.

Near-term band

$1.2M to $1.6M

31.7% of median

Long-horizon band

$1.2M to $1.8M

48.8% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +7.6% · Spread: 49%

·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 06097150501, Sonoma · Glen Ellen · (Tract 1505.1) on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).