What is the home price forecast for Parcel 06087121801 in Santa Cruz?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $1,650,933 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 13.7%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 06087121801 in Santa Cruz?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $1,650,933 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 13.7%.

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Parcel 06087121801 (Santa Cruz) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 06087121801, Santa Cruz Home Price Forecast

Santa Cruz, CA · ZIP 95010 · Census Tract 06087121801 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$1.65M

Downside (P10)

$1.54M

-7% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$1.88M

+14% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$2.43M

+47% by 2030

Base case: +14% by 2030, with a forecast range from -7% to +47%. The model forecasts this with 74% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$1.0M	$1.0M	$1.4M	$1.2M	$1.6M	$1.7M	$1.7M	$1.8M	$1.9M
Growth $ vs 2026	-$625,933	-$620,433	-$283,733	-$489,133	-$63,633		+$53,567	+$133,355	+$226,765
Growth % vs 2026	-37.9%	-37.6%	-17.2%	-29.6%	-3.9%		+3.2%	+8.1%	+13.7%
Downside (P10)							$1.5M	$1.5M	$1.5M
Upside (P90)							$2.1M	$2.1M	$2.4M

Forecast Confidence

74%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.

Near-term band

$1.5M to $2.1M

34.6% of median

Long-horizon band

$1.5M to $2.4M

47.6% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: strong growth expected5yr expected: +13.7% · Spread: 48%

·The forecast implies steady near-term growth accelerating over the longer horizon.
·The base case is supported by strong local demand signals and a positive medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 06087121801, Santa Cruz on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).