What is the home price forecast for Parcel 06083002710 in Lompoc?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $326,722 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 13.9%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 06083002710 in Lompoc?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $326,722 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 13.9%.

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Parcel 06083002710 (Lompoc) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 06083002710, Lompoc Home Price Forecast

Santa Barbara, CA · ZIP 93436 · Census Tract 06083002710 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$327K

Downside (P10)

$285K

-13% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$372K

+14% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$466K

+43% by 2030

Base case: +14% by 2030, with a forecast range from -13% to +43%. The model forecasts this with 73% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$268K	$272K	$344K	$329K	$320K	$327K	$334K	$353K	$372K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$59,222	-$54,622	+$17,278	+$1,878	-$6,622		+$7,588	+$26,021	+$45,485
Growth % vs 2026	-18.1%	-16.7%	+5.3%	+0.6%	-2.0%		+2.3%	+8.0%	+13.9%
Downside (P10)							$295K	$297K	$285K
Upside (P90)							$401K	$448K	$466K

Forecast Confidence

73%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.

Near-term band

$295K to $401K

31.6% of median

Long-horizon band

$285K to $466K

48.7% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: strong growth expected5yr expected: +13.9% · Spread: 49%

·The forecast implies steady near-term growth accelerating over the longer horizon.
·The base case is supported by strong local demand signals and a positive medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 06083002710, Lompoc on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).