What is the home price forecast for Parcel 06077005138 in Manteca · 95336 · (Tract 51.38)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $174,271 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 8.8%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 06077005138 in Manteca · 95336 · (Tract 51.38)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $174,271 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 8.8%.

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Parcel 06077005138 (Manteca) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 06077005138, Manteca · 95336 · (Tract 51.38) Home Price Forecast

San Joaquin, CA · ZIP 95336 · Census Tract 06077005138 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$174K

Downside (P10)

$153K

-12% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$190K

+9% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$252K

+45% by 2030

Base case: +9% by 2030, with a forecast range from -12% to +45%. The model forecasts this with 71% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$58K	$158K	$159K	$181K	$167K	$174K	$179K	$182K	$190K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$116,371	-$16,771	-$14,871	+$7,030	-$7,371		+$4,610	+$7,321	+$15,414
Growth % vs 2026	-66.8%	-9.6%	-8.5%	+4.0%	-4.2%		+2.6%	+4.2%	+8.8%
Downside (P10)							$149K	$153K	$153K
Upside (P90)							$213K	$231K	$252K

Forecast Confidence

71%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.

Near-term band

$149K to $213K

35.8% of median

Long-horizon band

$153K to $252K

52.6% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +8.8% · Spread: 53%

·The forecast implies steady near-term growth accelerating over the longer horizon.
·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 06077005138, Manteca · 95336 · (Tract 51.38) on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).