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Orange County, CA · ZIP 92646 · Census Tract 06059099245 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$1.18M
Downside (P10)
$1.09M
-8% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$1.28M
+9% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.53M
+30% by 2030
Base case: +9% by 2030, with a forecast range from -8% to +30%. The model forecasts this with 81% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $693K | $710K | $743K | $802K | $833K | $849K | $889K | $1.0M | $1.1M | $1.1M | $1.2M | $1.2M | $1.2M | $1.3M |
| YoY Change | +2.5% | +4.7% | +8.0% | +3.8% | +2.0% | +4.7% | +16.1% | +8.4% | +1.5% | +3.9% | +3.4% | +1.5% | +3.8% | |
| Downside (P10) | $1.1M | $1.0M | $1.1M | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $1.3M | $1.4M | $1.5M |
The forecast range is very tight for this market, indicating strong model confidence. Near-term outcomes are constrained, though uncertainty widens modestly by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$1.13M to $1.34M
17.4% of median
5-Year Spread
$1.09M to $1.53M
34.6% of median
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources