What is the home price forecast for Parcel 06059063910 in Costa Mesa · 92626 · (Tract 639.10)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $1,132,047 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 7.5%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 06059063910 in Costa Mesa · 92626 · (Tract 639.10)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $1,132,047 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 7.5%.

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Parcel 06059063910 (Costa Mesa) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 06059063910, Costa Mesa · 92626 · (Tract 639.10) Home Price Forecast

Orange County, CA · ZIP 92626 · Census Tract 06059063910 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$1.13M

Downside (P10)

$964K

-15% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$1.22M

+8% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$1.54M

+36% by 2030

Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -15% to +36%. The model forecasts this with 74% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$781K	$815K	$927K	$995K	$1.1M	$1.1M	$1.1M	$1.2M	$1.2M
Growth $ vs 2026	-$351,447	-$317,347	-$205,147	-$137,347	-$44,647		+$16,797	+$69,490	+$85,005
Growth % vs 2026	-31.0%	-28.0%	-18.1%	-12.1%	-3.9%		+1.5%	+6.1%	+7.5%
Downside (P10)							$1.0M	$982K	$964K
Upside (P90)							$1.4M	$1.6M	$1.5M

Forecast Confidence

74%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.

Near-term band

$1.0M to $1.4M

32.3% of median

Long-horizon band

$964K to $1.5M

47.6% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +7.5% · Spread: 48%

·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 06059063910, Costa Mesa · 92626 · (Tract 639.10) on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).