What is the home price forecast for Parcel 06047002204 in Los Banos?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $444,869 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 10.6%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 06047002204 in Los Banos?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $444,869 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 10.6%.

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Parcel 06047002204 (Los Banos) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 06047002204, Los Banos Home Price Forecast

Merced, CA · ZIP 93635 · Census Tract 06047002204 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$445K

Downside (P10)

$414K

-7% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$492K

+11% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$654K

+47% by 2030

Base case: +11% by 2030, with a forecast range from -7% to +47%. The model forecasts this with 73% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$298K	$322K	$387K	$424K	$428K	$445K	$459K	$481K	$492K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$147,369	-$122,469	-$57,869	-$20,869	-$17,369		+$13,954	+$35,838	+$47,329
Growth % vs 2026	-33.1%	-27.5%	-13.0%	-4.7%	-3.9%		+3.1%	+8.1%	+10.6%
Downside (P10)							$386K	$401K	$414K
Upside (P90)							$558K	$607K	$654K

Forecast Confidence

73%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.

Near-term band

$386K to $558K

37.7% of median

Long-horizon band

$414K to $654K

48.9% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: strong growth expected5yr expected: +10.6% · Spread: 49%

·The forecast implies steady near-term growth accelerating over the longer horizon.
·The base case is supported by strong local demand signals and a positive medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 06047002204, Los Banos on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).