Los Angeles, CA · ZIP 91604 · Census Tract 06037143602 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$1.32M
Downside (P10)
$1.12M
-15% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$1.53M
+16% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.92M
+46% by 2030
Base case: +16% by 2030, with a forecast range from -15% to +46%. Uncertainty is narrow relative to similar Los Angeles markets.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $654K | $690K | $720K | $730K | $751K | $710K | $899K | $951K | $1.1M | $1.3M | $1.3M | $1.4M | $1.5M | $1.5M |
| YoY Change | +5.6% | +4.4% | +1.3% | +2.9% | -5.4% | +26.7% | +5.8% | +13.0% | +18.4% | +3.4% | +6.1% | +4.4% | +5.1% | |
| Downside (P10) | $1.0M | $1.1M | $1.1M | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $1.6M | $1.8M | $1.9M |
The forecast range is narrow for this market. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight and remain tight through the full horizon.
1-Year Spread
$1.03M to $1.61M
41.8% of median
5-Year Spread
$1.12M to $1.92M
52.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles · Studio City · (Tract 1436.2) | $1.31M | $1.53M | +17.4% | |
| San Pasqual | $1.31M | $1.46M | +11.4% | |
| Los Angeles | $1.32M | $1.41M | +7.0% | |
| Redondo Beach | $1.32M | $1.43M | +8.3% | |
| Los Angeles | $1.31M | $1.44M | +9.8% | |
| Santa Monica | $1.33M | $1.58M | +18.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles · Studio City · (Tract 1436.2) | $1.31M | $1.53M | +17.4% | |
| Los Angeles | $1.05M | $1.34M | +27.1% | |
| Los Angeles | $1.09M | $1.38M | +26.3% | |
| Los Angeles | $1.18M | $1.48M | +25.5% | |
| Los Angeles | $968K | $1.19M | +22.8% | |
| Long Beach | $728K | $893K | +22.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles · Studio City · (Tract 1436.2) | $1.31M | $1.53M | $806K | |
| Bell | $69K | $72K | $39K | |
| Lancaster | $86K | $96K | $46K | |
| Long Beach | $105K | $112K | $61K | |
| Lancaster | $118K | $137K | $70K | |
| Lancaster | $178K | $195K | $92K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.