What is the home price forecast for Parcel 06029004002 in Shafter · 93263 · (Tract 40.2)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $350,146 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 12.5%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 06029004002 in Shafter · 93263 · (Tract 40.2)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $350,146 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 12.5%.

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Parcel 06029004002 (Shafter) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 06029004002, Shafter · 93263 · (Tract 40.2) Home Price Forecast

Kern, CA · ZIP 93263 · Census Tract 06029004002 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$350K

Downside (P10)

$284K

-19% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$394K

+12% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$540K

+54% by 2030

Base case: +12% by 2030, with a forecast range from -19% to +54%. The model forecasts this with 64% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$204K	$223K	$259K	$311K	$336K	$350K	$353K	$368K	$394K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$145,846	-$126,746	-$90,746	-$39,346	-$14,646		+$3,094	+$18,206	+$43,707
Growth % vs 2026	-41.7%	-36.2%	-25.9%	-11.2%	-4.2%		+0.9%	+5.2%	+12.5%
Downside (P10)							$320K	$300K	$284K
Upside (P90)							$438K	$492K	$540K

Forecast Confidence

64%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.

Near-term band

$320K to $438K

33.4% of median

Long-horizon band

$284K to $540K

65.0% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: strong growth expected5yr expected: +12.5% · Spread: 65%

·The base case is supported by strong local demand signals and a positive medium-term appreciation path.

Location

Parcel 06029004002, Shafter · 93263 · (Tract 40.2) on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).