What is the home price forecast for Parcel 06019004411 in Fresno?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $1,070,234 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 3.3%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 06019004411 in Fresno?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $1,070,234 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 3.3%.

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Parcel 06019004411 (Fresno) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 06019004411, Fresno Home Price Forecast

Fresno, CA · ZIP 93711 · Census Tract 06019004411 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$1.07M

Downside (P10)

$873K

-18% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$1.11M

+3% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$1.43M

+33% by 2030

Base case: +3% by 2030, with a forecast range from -18% to +33%. The model forecasts this with 72% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$979K	$931K	$1.1M	$1.1M	$1.1M	$1.1M	$1.1M	$1.1M	$1.1M
Growth $ vs 2026	-$91,434	-$139,234	-$18,734	+$166	-$5,534		+$19,361	+$37,278	+$34,817
Growth % vs 2026	-8.5%	-13.0%	-1.8%	+0.0%	-0.5%		+1.8%	+3.5%	+3.3%
Downside (P10)							$917K	$890K	$873K
Upside (P90)							$1.3M	$1.3M	$1.4M

Forecast Confidence

72%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.

Near-term band

$917K to $1.3M

32.3% of median

Long-horizon band

$873K to $1.4M

50.3% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +3.3% · Spread: 50%

·The forecast implies relatively stable values through the full horizon, with modest movements in either direction.
·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 06019004411, Fresno on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).