What is the home price forecast for Parcel 06019006606 in Reedley · 93654 · (Tract 66.6)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $281,501 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 12.8%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 06019006606 in Reedley · 93654 · (Tract 66.6)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $281,501 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 12.8%.

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Parcel 06019006606 (Reedley) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 06019006606, Reedley · 93654 · (Tract 66.6) Home Price Forecast

Fresno, CA · ZIP 93654 · Census Tract 06019006606 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$282K

Downside (P10)

$245K

-13% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$318K

+13% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$397K

+41% by 2030

Base case: +13% by 2030, with a forecast range from -13% to +41%. The model forecasts this with 74% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$175K	$205K	$226K	$245K	$278K	$282K	$289K	$312K	$318K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$107,001	-$76,901	-$55,601	-$36,601	-$3,301		+$7,424	+$30,824	+$36,072
Growth % vs 2026	-38.0%	-27.3%	-19.8%	-13.0%	-1.2%		+2.6%	+11.0%	+12.8%
Downside (P10)							$246K	$243K	$245K
Upside (P90)							$330K	$360K	$397K

Forecast Confidence

74%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.

Near-term band

$246K to $330K

29.3% of median

Long-horizon band

$245K to $397K

47.7% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: strong growth expected5yr expected: +12.8% · Spread: 48%

·The forecast implies steady near-term growth accelerating over the longer horizon.
·The base case is supported by strong local demand signals and a positive medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 06019006606, Reedley · 93654 · (Tract 66.6) on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).