What is the home price forecast for Parcel 06019006301 in Reedley · 93654 · (Tract 63.1)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $419,482 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 12.1%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 06019006301 in Reedley · 93654 · (Tract 63.1)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $419,482 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 12.1%.

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Parcel 06019006301 (Reedley) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 06019006301, Reedley · 93654 · (Tract 63.1) Home Price Forecast

Fresno, CA · ZIP 93654 · Census Tract 06019006301 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$419K

Downside (P10)

$368K

-12% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$470K

+12% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$670K

+60% by 2030

Base case: +12% by 2030, with a forecast range from -12% to +60%. The model forecasts this with 65% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029	2030
Median Value	$325K	$344K	$378K	$401K	$420K	$419K	$422K	$438K	$470K	$438K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$94,982	-$75,882	-$41,482	-$18,382	+$618		+$2,545	+$18,906	+$50,583	+$18,988
Growth % vs 2026	-22.6%	-18.1%	-9.9%	-4.4%	+0.1%		+0.6%	+4.5%	+12.1%	+4.5%
Downside (P10)							$367K	$365K	$368K	$392K
Upside (P90)							$547K	$624K	$670K	$497K

Forecast Confidence

87%

High Confidence

The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.

Near-term band

$367K to $547K

42.6% of median

Long-horizon band

$392K to $497K

23.9% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +4.5% · Spread: 24%

·The forecast implies relatively stable values through the full horizon, with modest movements in either direction.
·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 06019006301, Reedley · 93654 · (Tract 63.1) on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).